All-Star Predictor

Last updated: May 28th (before the games for that day)

Photo: Tony Dejak/Associated Press

The “All-Star Predictor” seeks to estimate/project who will be voted into the all-star game as of “x” date. The stats it takes into consideration include AVG, HR, RBI, and OPS (the four metrics listed on MLB All-Star Ballot). The system will be updated on a regular basis (at least every other week). Here is a spreadsheet that I created which contains each players’ specific stats/scores. I highly recommended taking a look at it, as it will surely enhance your viewing experience…

Rankings (link to spreadsheet: https://www.icloud.com/numbers/0z1VavPHmxMlZ6mm82RIvla9A#All-Star_Predictor)

American LeagueNational League
CGary SanchezWillson Contreras
1BJose AbreuJosh Bell
2BTommy La StellaDerek Dietrich
3BAlex BregmanNolan Arenado
SSGleyber TorresJavier Baez
OFGeorge SpringerCody Bellinger
OFEddy RosarioChristian Yelich
OFJoey GalloJoc Peterson
DHDaniel VogelbachN/A

Note: the stats I collected for hitters, starters, and relievers that you’ll find below were used to calculate appropriate coefficients (weights in a way) for each category…

American League

Catchers

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories and positions, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .317
  • Overall median: .2255

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 11
  • Overall median: 2

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 28.7
  • Overall median: 10.5

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: 1.0253
  • Overall median: .666

For all positions, the stats above will be weighed accordingly:

  • OPS: 30%
  • HR: 30%
  • AVG: 25%
  • RBI: 15%

First Basemen

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .3053
  • Overall median: .233

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 13
  • Overall median: 5

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 37.7
  • Overall median: 19

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: .9153
  • Overall median: .766

Second Basemen

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .311
  • Overall median: .264

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 11
  • Overall median: 4

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 30.3
  • Overall median: 18

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: .8983
  • Overall median: .736

Third Basemen

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .3257
  • Overall median: .239

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 13.7
  • Overall median: 4

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 30
  • Overall median: 17

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: .9523
  • Overall median: .730

Shortstop

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .3297
  • Overall median: .2645

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 11
  • Overall median: 5.5

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 33.3
  • Overall median: 22

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: .9257
  • Overall median: .787

Outfielders

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top six (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .3173
  • Overall median: .256

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top six: 14.3
  • Overall median: 6

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top six: 39
  • Overall median: 19

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top six: 1.023
  • Overall median: .779

Designated Hitters

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .3053
  • Overall median: .248

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 13.3
  • Overall median: 9

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 32.7
  • Overall median: 22

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: .9653
  • Overall median: .815

National League

Catchers

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .2997
  • Overall median: .251

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 10
  • Overall median: 3.5

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 32.3
  • Overall median: 14.5

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: .9043
  • Overall median: .7315

First Basemen

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .337
  • Overall median: .254

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 16.3
  • Overall median: 5

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 43.7
  • Overall median: 18

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: 1.0377
  • Overall median: .789

Second Basemen

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .2973
  • Overall median: .2425

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 13
  • Overall median: 4.5

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 33
  • Overall median: 14.5

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: .9197
  • Overall median: .7095

Third Basemen

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .3217
  • Overall median: .260

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 14
  • Overall median: 6

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 41.7
  • Overall median: 21

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: 1.0227
  • Overall median: .732

Shortstop

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top three (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .3367
  • Overall median: .262

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top three: 12
  • Overall median: 4

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top three: 34.7
  • Overall median: 21

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top three: .947
  • Overall median: .757

Outfielders

Batting average (AVG)

  • Average of top six (for all categories, minimum of fifty plate appearances): .3373
  • Overall median: .243

Home runs (HR)

  • Average of top six: 16.3
  • Overall median: 4

Runs batted in (RBI)

  • Average of top six: 40
  • Overall median: 16

On-base percentage plus slugging (OPS)

  • Average of top six: 1.0548
  • Overall median: .749

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