Projected 2019 Standings: Final Edition

With today being opening day, I will attempt to project the 2019 standings through finding a relationship / pattern between each team’s overall WAR (all WAR are according to FanGraphs) and the number of games they win. To find this relationship (for each team) — WCF (Wins Correlation Factor) — let’s take a trip back in time. 

Photo: Sports Illustrated

1. The formula used to calculate WCF for a single season can be seen below…

WCF = Wins – Team WAR

2. The formula used to calculate an Overall WCF (accounting for entire data sample / last 5 seasons / 2014:18) can be seen below…

Overall WCF = (2018 WCF * 0.30) + (2017 WCF * 0.25) + (2016 WCF * 0.20) + (2015 WCF * 0.15) + (2014 WCF * 0.1) 

Angels

Overall WCF = (44.6 * 0.3) + (50.2 * 0.25) + (47.3 * 0.2) + (55.9 * 0.15) + (53.1 * 0.1) = 13.38 + 12.55 + 9.46 + 8.385 + 5.31 = 49.085

2018 Team WAR: 35.4; 2018 Record: 80-82; WCF: 44.6

2017 Team WAR: 29.8; 2017 Record: 80-82; WCF: 50.2

2016 Team WAR: 26.7; 2016 Record: 74-88; WCF: 47.3

2015 Team WAR: 29.1; 2015 Record: 85-77; WCF: 55.9

2014 Team WAR: 44.9; 2014 Record: 98-64; WCF: 53.1

Astros

Overall WCF = (47.5 * 0.3) + (47.5 * 0.25) + (43.2 * 0.2) + (41.2 * 0.15) + (46.5 * 0.1) = 14.25 + 11.875 + 8.64 + 6.18 + 4.65 = 45.595

2018 Team WAR: 55.5; 2018 Record: 103-59; WCF: 47.5

2017 Team WAR: 53.5; 2017 Record: 101-61; WCF: 47.5

2016 Team WAR: 40.8; 2016 Record: 84-78; WCF: 43.2

2015 Team WAR: 44.8; 2015 Record: 86-76; WCF: 41.2

2014 Team WAR: 23.5; 2014 Record: 70-92; WCF: 46.5

Athletics

Overall WCF = (52.5 * 0.3) + (48.5 * 0.25) + (52.8 * 0.2) + (43.8 * 0.15) + (49.4 * 0.1) = 15.75 + 12.125 + 10.56 + 6.57 + 4.94 = 49.945

2018 Team WAR: 44.5; 2018 Record: 97-65; WCF: 52.5

2017 Team WAR: 26.5; 2017 Record: 75-87; WCF: 48.5

2016 Team WAR: 16.2; 2016 Record: 69-93; WCF: 52.8

2015 Team WAR: 24.2; 2015 Record: 68-94; WCF: 43.8

2014 Team WAR: 38.6; 2014 Record: 88-74; WCF: 49.4

Blue Jays

Overall WCF = (51.9 * 0.3) + (49.2 * 0.25) + (47.6 * 0.2) + (42.8 * 0.15) + (46.7 * 0.1) = 15.57 + 12.3 + 9.52 + 6.42 + 4.67 = 48.48 

2018 Team WAR: 21.1; 2018 Record: 73-89; WCF: 51.9

2017 Team WAR: 26.8; 2017 Record: 76-86; WCF: 49.2

2016 Team WAR: 41.4; 2016 Record: 89-73; WCF: 47.6

2015 Team WAR: 50.2; 2015 Record: 93-69; WCF: 42.8

2014 Team WAR: 36.3; 2014 Record: 83-79; WCF: 46.7

Braves

Overall WCF = (49.3 * 0.3) + (47.7 * 0.25) + (48.7 * 0.2) + (50.1 * 0.15) + (47.7 * 0.1) = 14.79 + 11.925 + 9.74 + 7.515 + 4.77 = 48.74

2018 Team WAR: 40.7; 2018 Record: 90-72; WCF: 49.3

2017 Team WAR: 24.3; 2017 Record: 72-90; WCF: 47.7

2016 Team WAR: 19.3; 2016 Record: 68-93; WCF: 48.7

2015 Team WAR: 16.9; 2015 Record: 67-95; WCF: 50.1

2014 Team WAR: 31.3; 2014 Record: 79-83; WCF: 47.7

Brewers

Overall WCF = (53 * 0.3) + (51.5 * 0.25) + (48.7 * 0.2) + (45.4 * 0.15) + (45.7 * 0.1) = 15.9 + 12.875 + 9.74 + 6.81 + 4.57 = 49.895

2018 Team WAR: 43.0; 2018 Record: 96-67; WCF: 53

2017 Team WAR: 34.5; 2017 Record: 86-76; WCF: 51.5

2016 Team WAR: 24.3; 2016 Record: 73-89; WCF: 48.7

2015 Team WAR: 22.6; 2015 Record: 68-94; WCF: 45.4

2014 Team WAR: 36.3; 2014 Record: 82-80; WCF: 45.7

Cardinals

Overall WCF = (48.1 * 0.3) + (41.4 * 0.25) + (46.9 * 0.2) + (55.6 * 0.15) + (56 * 0.1) = 14.43 + 10.35 + 9.38 + 8.34 + 5.6 = 48.1

2018 Team WAR: 39.9; 2018 Record: 88-74; WCF: 48.1

2017 Team WAR: 41.6; 2017 Record: 83-79; WCF: 41.4

2016 Team WAR: 39.1; 2016 Record: 86-76; WCF: 46.9

2015 Team WAR: 44.4; 2015 Record: 100-62; WCF: 55.6

2014 Team WAR: 34.0; 2014 Record: 90-72; WCF: 56

Cubs

Overall WCF = (54.9 * 0.3) + (48.8 * 0.25) + (46.5 * 0.2) + (48.4 * 0.15) + (37.2 * 0.1) = 16.47 + 12.2 + 9.3 + 7.26 + 3.72 = 48.95

2018 Team WAR: 40.1; 2018 Record: 95-68; WCF: 54.9

2017 Team WAR: 43.2; 2017 Record: 92-70; WCF: 48.8

2016 Team WAR: 56.5; 2016 Record: 103-58; WCF: 46.5

2015 Team WAR: 48.6; 2015 Record: 97-65; WCF: 48.4

2014 Team WAR: 35.8; 2014 Record: 73-89; WCF: 37.2

Diamondbacks

Overall WCF = (48.5 * 0.3) + (50.6 * 0.25) + (42.8 * 0.2) + (46.7 * 0.15) + (42.8 * 0.1) = 14.55 + 12.65 + 8.56 + 7.005 + 4.28 = 47.045

2018 Team WAR: 33.5; 2018 Record: 82-80; WCF: 48.5

2017 Team WAR: 42.4; 2017 Record: 93-69; WCF: 50.6

2016 Team WAR: 26.2; 2016 Record: 69-93; WCF: 42.8

2015 Team WAR: 32.3; 2015 Record: 79-83; WCF: 46.7

2014 Team WAR: 21.2; 2014 Record: 64-98; WCF: 42.8

Dodgers

Overall WCF = (38.5 * 0.3) + (49.2 * 0.25) + (44.9 * 0.2) + (43 * 0.15) + (42.8 * 0.1) = 11.55 + 12.3 + 8.98 + 6.45 + 4.28 = 43.56

2018 Team WAR: 53.5; 2018 Record: 92-71; WCF: 38.5

2017 Team WAR: 54.8; 2017 Record: 104-58; WCF: 49.2

2016 Team WAR: 46.1; 2016 Record: 91-71; WCF: 44.9

2015 Team WAR: 49.0; 2015 Record: 92-70; WCF: 43

2014 Team WAR: 51.2; 2014 Record: 94-58; WCF: 42.8

Giants

Overall WCF = (53.6 * 0.3) + (43 * 0.25) + (46.2 * 0.2) + (45.6 * 0.15) + (51.7 * 0.1) = 16.08 + 10.75 + 9.24 + 6.84 + 5.17 = 48.08

2018 Team WAR: 19.4; 2018 Record: 73-89; WCF: 53.6

2017 Team WAR: 21.0; 2017 Record: 64-98; WCF: 43

2016 Team WAR: 40.8; 2016 Record: 87-75; WCF: 46.2

2015 Team WAR: 38.4; 2015 Record: 84-78; WCF: 45.6

2014 Team WAR: 36.3; 2014 Record: 88-74; WCF: 51.7

Indians

Overall WCF = (40.7 * 0.3) + (44.3 * 0.25) + (51.4 * 0.2) + (41.1 * 0.15) + (50.5 * 0.1) = 12.21 + 11.075 + 10.28 + 6.165 + 5.05 = 44.78

2018 Team WAR: 50.3; 2018 Record: 91-71; WCF: 40.7

2017 Team WAR: 57.7; 2017 Record: 102-60; WCF: 44.3

2016 Team WAR: 42.6; 2016 Record: 94-67; WCF: 51.4

2015 Team WAR: 39.9; 2015 Record: 81-80; WCF: 41.1

2014 Team WAR: 34.5; 2014 Record: 85-77; WCF: 50.5

Mariners

Overall WCF = (54 * 0.3) + (45.9 * 0.25) + (50.8 * 0.2) + (49.7 * 0.15) + (56.9 * 0.1) = 16.2 + 11.475 + 10.16 + 7.455 + 5.69 = 50.98

2018 Team WAR: 35.0; 2018 Record: 89-73; WCF: 54

2017 Team WAR: 32.1; 2017 Record: 78-84; WCF: 45.9

2016 Team WAR: 35.2; 2016 Record: 86-76; WCF: 50.8

2015 Team WAR: 26.3; 2015 Record: 76-86; WCF: 49.7

2014 Team WAR: 30.1; 2014 Record: 87-75; WCF: 56.9

Marlins

Overall WCF = (49.7 * 0.3) + (43.1 * 0.25) + (41.8 * 0.2) + (43.3 * 0.15) + (43.8 * 0.1) = 14.91 + 10.775 + 8.36 + 6.495 + 4.38 = 44.92

2018 Team WAR: 13.3; 2018 Record: 63-98; WCF: 49.7

2017 Team WAR: 33.9; 2017 Record: 77-85; WCF: 43.1

2016 Team WAR: 37.2; 2016 Record: 79-82; WCF: 41.8

2015 Team WAR: 27.7; 2015 Record: 71-91; WCF: 43.3

2014 Team WAR: 33.2; 2014 Record: 77-85; WCF: 43.8

Mets

Overall WCF = (43.7 * 0.3) + (38.4 * 0.25) + (41.5 * 0.2) + (46.1 * 0.15) + (48.4 * 0.1) = 13.11 + 9.6 + 8.3 + 6.915 + 4.84 = 42.765

2018 Team WAR: 33.3; 2018 Record: 77-85; WCF: 43.7

2017 Team WAR: 31.6; 2017 Record: 70-92; WCF: 38.4

2016 Team WAR: 45.5; 2016 Record: 87-75; WCF: 41.5

2015 Team WAR: 43.9; 2015 Record: 90-72; WCF: 46.1

2014 Team WAR: 30.6; 2014 Record: 79-83; WCF: 48.4

Nationals

Overall WCF = (42.5 * 0.3) + (50.9 * 0.25) + (57.8 * 0.2) + (42.9 * 0.15) + (45.5 * 0.1) = 12.75 + 12.725 + 11.56 + 6.435 + 4.55 = 48.02

2018 Team WAR: 39.5; 2018 Record: 82-80; WCF: 42.5

2017 Team WAR: 46.1; 2017 Record: 97-65; WCF: 50.9

2016 Team WAR: 37.2; 2016 Record: 95-67; WCF: 57.8

2015 Team WAR: 40.1; 2015 Record: 83-79; WCF: 42.9

2014 Team WAR: 50.5; 2014 Record: 96-66; WCF: 45.5

Orioles

Overall WCF = (38.9 * 0.3) + (43.4 * 0.25) + (53 * 0.2) + (47.7 * 0.15) + (55.7 * 0.1) = 11.67 + 10.85 + 10.6 + 7.155 + 5.57 = 45.845

2018 Team WAR: 8.1; 2018 Record: 47-115; WCF: 38.9

2017 Team WAR: 31.6; 2017 Record: 75-87; WCF: 43.4

2016 Team WAR: 36.0; 2016 Record: 89-73; WCF: 53

2015 Team WAR: 33.3; 2015 Record: 81-81; WCF: 47.7

2014 Team WAR: 40.3; 2014 Record: 96-66; WCF: 55.7

Padres

Overall WCF = (45.5 * 0.3) + (56.4 * 0.25) + (47.8 * 0.2) + (47.9 * 0.15) + (53.1 * 0.1) = 13.65 + 14.1 + 9.56 + 7.185 + 5.31 = 49.805

2018 Team WAR: 20.5; 2018 Record: 66-96; WCF: 45.5

2017 Team WAR: 14.6; 2017 Record: 71-91; WCF: 56.4

2016 Team WAR: 20.2; 2016 Record: 68-94; WCF: 47.8

2015 Team WAR: 26.1; 2015 Record: 74-88; WCF: 47.9

2014 Team WAR: 23.9; 2014 Record: 77-85; WCF: 53.1

Phillies

Overall WCF = (48 * 0.3) + (41.1 * 0.25) + (47.2 * 0.2) + (43.7 * 0.15) + (44.8 * 0.1) = 14.4 + 10.275 + 9.44 + 6.555 + 4.48 = 45.15

2018 Team WAR: 32.0; 2018 Record: 80-82; WCF: 48

2017 Team WAR: 24.9; 2017 Record: 66-96; WCF: 41.1

2016 Team WAR: 23.8; 2016 Record: 71-91; WCF: 47.2

2015 Team WAR: 19.3; 2015 Record: 63-99; WCF: 43.7

2014 Team WAR: 28.2; 2014 Record: 73-89; WCF: 44.8

Pirates

Overall WCF = (49.3 * 0.3) + (48.8 * 0.25) + (49.8 * 0.2) + (54.2 * 0.15) + (48.3 * 0.1) = 14.79 + 12.2 + 9.96 + 8.13 + 4.83 = 49.91

2018 Team WAR: 32.7; 2018 Record: 82-79; WCF: 49.3

2017 Team WAR: 26.2; 2017 Record: 75-87; WCF: 48.8

2016 Team WAR: 28.2; 2016 Record: 78-83; WCF: 49.8

2015 Team WAR: 43.8; 2015 Record: 98-64; WCF: 54.2

2014 Team WAR: 39.7; 2014 Record: 88-74; WCF: 48.3

Rangers

Overall WCF = (43.9 * 0.3) + (55.7 * 0.25) + (66.7 * 0.2) + (55.5 * 0.15) + (46.1 * 0.1) = 13.17 + 13.925 + 13.34 + 8.325 + 4.61 = 53.37

2018 Team WAR: 23.1; 2018 Record: 67-95; WCF: 43.9

2017 Team WAR: 22.3; 2017 Record: 78-84; WCF: 55.7

2016 Team WAR: 28.3; 2016 Record: 95-67; WCF: 66.7

2015 Team WAR: 32.5; 2015 Record: 88-74; WCF: 55.5

2014 Team WAR: 20.9; 2014 Record: 67-95; WCF: 46.1

Rays

Overall WCF = (49.7 * 0.3) + (43.2 * 0.25) + (38.9 * 0.2) + (45.8 * 0.15) + (42.6 * 0.1) = 14.91 + 10.8 + 7.78 + 6.87 + 4.26 = 44.62

2018 Team WAR: 40.3; 2018 Record: 90-72; WCF: 49.7

2017 Team WAR: 36.8; 2017 Record: 80-82; WCF: 43.2

2016 Team WAR: 29.1; 2016 Record: 68-94; WCF: 38.9

2015 Team WAR: 34.2; 2015 Record: 80-82; WCF: 45.8

2014 Team WAR: 34.4; 2014 Record: 77-85; WCF: 42.6

Red Sox

Overall WCF = (57.8 * 0.3) + (51.6 * 0.25) + (39.6 * 0.2) + (48.5 * 0.15) + (43.1 * 0.1) = 17.34 + 12.9 + 7.92 + 7.275 + 4.31 = 49.745

2018 Team WAR: 50.2; 2018 Record: 108-54; WCF: 57.8

2017 Team WAR: 41.4; 2017 Record: 93-69; WCF: 51.6

2016 Team WAR: 53.4; 2016 Record: 93-69; WCF: 39.6

2015 Team WAR: 29.5; 2015 Record: 78-84; WCF: 48.5

2014 Team WAR: 27.9; 2014 Record: 71-91; WCF: 43.1

Reds

Overall WCF = (41.5 * 0.3) + (42.7 * 0.25) + (54.4 * 0.2) + (36.6 * 0.15) + (48.4 * 0.1) = 12.45 + 10.675 + 10.88 + 5.49 + 4.84 = 44.335

2018 Team WAR: 25.5; 2018 Record: 67-95; WCF: 41.5

2017 Team WAR: 25.3; 2017 Record: 68-94; WCF: 42.7

2016 Team WAR: 13.6; 2016 Record: 68-94; WCF: 54.4

2015 Team WAR: 27.4; 2015 Record: 64-98; WCF: 36.6

2014 Team WAR: 27.6; 2014 Record: 76-86; WCF: 48.4

Rockies

Overall WCF = (57.3 * 0.3) + (55 * 0.25) + (42.8 * 0.2) + (49.9 * 0.15) + (41.7 * 0.1) = 17.19 + 13.75 + 8.56 + 7.485 + 4.17 = 51.155

2018 Team WAR: 33.7; 2018 Record: 91-72; WCF: 57.3

2017 Team WAR: 32.0; 2017 Record: 87-75; WCF: 55

2016 Team WAR: 32.2; 2016 Record: 75-87; WCF: 42.8

2015 Team WAR: 18.1; 2015 Record: 68-94; WCF: 49.9

2014 Team WAR: 24.3; 2014 Record: 66-96; WCF: 41.7

Royals

Overall WCF = (39.4 * 0.3) + (54.6 * 0.25) + (57.7 * 0.2) + (59.5 * 0.15) + (53 * 0.1) = 11.82 + 13.65 + 11.54 + 8.925 + 5.3 = 51.235

2018 Team WAR: 18.6; 2018 Record: 58-104; WCF: 39.4

2017 Team WAR: 25.4; 2017 Record: 80-82; WCF: 54.6

2016 Team WAR: 23.3; 2016 Record: 81-81; WCF: 57.7

2015 Team WAR: 35.5; 2015 Record: 95-67; WCF: 59.5

2014 Team WAR: 36.0; 2014 Record: 89-73; WCF: 53

Tigers

Overall WCF = (47.2 * 0.3) + (37.5 * 0.25) + (47 * 0.2) + (45.4 * 0.15) + (45.5 * 0.1) = 14.16 + 9.375 + 9.4 + 6.81 + 4.55 = 44.295

2018 Team WAR: 16.8; 2018 Record: 64-98; WCF: 47.2

2017 Team WAR: 26.5; 2017 Record: 64-98; WCF: 37.5

2016 Team WAR: 39.0; 2016 Record: 86-75; WCF: 47

2015 Team WAR: 28.6; 2015 Record: 74-87; WCF: 45.4

2014 Team WAR: 44.5; 2014 Record: 90-72; WCF: 45.5

Twins

Overall WCF = (50.4 * 0.3) + (50.1 * 0.25) + (36.5 * 0.2) + (55.1 * 0.15) + (39.5 * 0.1) = 15.12 + 12.525 + 7.3 + 8.265 + 3.95 = 47.16

2018 Team WAR: 27.6; 2018 Record: 78-84; WCF: 50.4

2017 Team WAR: 34.9; 2017 Record: 85-77; WCF: 50.1

2016 Team WAR: 22.5; 2016 Record: 59-103; WCF: 36.5

2015 Team WAR: 27.9; 2015 Record: 83-79; WCF: 55.1

2014 Team WAR: 30.5; 2014 Record: 70-92; WCF: 39.5

White Sox

Overall WCF = (44.8 * 0.3) + (49.8 * 0.25) + (46.5 * 0.2) + (49.8 * 0.15) + (48.9 * 0.1) = 13.44 + 12.45 + 9.3 + 7.47 + 4.89 = 47.55

2018 Team WAR: 17.2; 2018 Record: 62-100; WCF: 44.8

2017 Team WAR: 17.2; 2017 Record: 67-95; WCF: 49.8

2016 Team WAR: 31.5; 2016 Record: 78-84; WCF: 46.5

2015 Team WAR: 26.2; 2015 Record: 76-86; WCF: 49.8

2014 Team WAR: 24.1; 2014 Record: 73-89; WCF: 48.9

Yankees

Overall WCF = (44 * 0.3) + (38.1 * 0.25) + (50.4 * 0.2) + (48.1 * 0.15) + (48.2 * 0.1) = 13.2 + 9.525 + 10.08 + 7.215 + 4.82 = 44.84

2018 Team WAR: 56.0; 2018 Record: 100-62; WCF: 44

2017 Team WAR: 52.9; 2017 Record: 91-71; WCF: 38.1

2016 Team WAR: 33.6; 2016 Record: 84-78; WCF: 50.4

2015 Team WAR: 38.9; 2015 Record: 87-75; WCF: 48.1

2014 Team WAR: 35.8; 2014 Record: 84-78; WCF: 48.2

Now that we’ve calculated the Wins Correlation Factor (WCF) for each team, we can project where teams will finish in the 2019 season…

We also need to bump/boost teams down/up depending on how their projected fWAR has changed from Jan. 13 – March 27th. WAR changes less than 0.3 will be left alone (won’t affect other teams directly). WAR changes of 1.0 WAR or less will not be introduced to teams outside that division. Here are my projected standings for 2019…

American League

AL East

1. New York Yankees: 98.6 – 63.4

97.3 wins (Overall WCF 44.84 + 52.5 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 1.2 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.13 ([19 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) + 0.11 ([19 games against the Rays / 162] * 0.9) + 0.07 ([19 games against the Blue Jays / 162] * 0.6) + 0.30 ([19 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.10 ([3 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) + 0.03 ([4 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.06 ([6 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.07 ([6 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 98.6 wins

2. Boston Red Sox: 97.8 – 64.2

100.6 wins (Overall WCF 49.745 + 50.9 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 2.6 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.13 ([19 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.14 ([19 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.11 ([19 games against the Rays / 162] * 0.9) + 0.07 ([19 games against the Blue Jays / 162] * 0.6) – 0.10 ([3 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) + 0.02 ([3 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.06 ([6 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 97.8 wins

3. Tampa Bay Rays: 81.3 – 80.7

82.3 (Overall WCF 44.62 + 37.7 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 0.9 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.13 ([19 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.14 ([19 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.07 ([19 games against the Blue Jays / 162] * 0.6) + 0.30 ([19 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.10 ([3 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) + 0.02 ([3 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.07 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.07 ([6 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 81.3 wins

4. Toronto Blue Jays: 78.0 – 84.0

78.7 (Overall WCF 48.48 + 30.2 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 0.6 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.13 ([19 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.14 ([19 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.11 ([19 games against the Rays / 162] * 0.9) + 0.30 ([19 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.10 ([3 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) + 0.02 ([3 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.07 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.07 ([6 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.07 ([6 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.03 ([4 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 78.0 wins

5. Baltimore Orioles: 62.3 – 99.7

61.2 (Overall WCF 45.845 + 15.4 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 1.1 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.14 ([19 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.11 ([19 games against the Rays / 162] * 0.9) + 0.07 ([19 games against the Blue Jays / 162] * 0.6) + 0.30 ([19 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.14 ([4 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) + 0.02 ([3 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.06 ([6 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 62.3 wins

AL Central

1. Cleveland Indians: 90.6 – 71.4

90.5 (Overall WCF 44.78 + 45.7 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 0.5 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.19 ([19 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.16 ([19 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.6) – 0.06 ([3 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.04 ([4 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.10 ([6 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.07 ([6 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.07 ([6 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) = 90.6 wins

2. Minnesota Twins: 84.8 – 77.2

  • Overall Change: +1.1

83.5 (Overall WCF 47.16 + 36.3 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 1.6 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) + 0.16 ([19 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.06 ([19 games against the Indians / 162] * 0.5) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.6) – 0.06 ([3 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.10 ([6 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) = 84.8 wins

3. Kansas City Royals: 71.9 – 90.1

72.3 (Overall WCF 51.235 + 21.1 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 0.1 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.19 ([19 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) – 0.06 ([19 games against the Indians / 162] * 0.5) + 0.16 ([19 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.6) – 0.08 ([4 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.10 ([6 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) = 71.9 wins

4. Chicago White Sox: 69.7 – 92.3

70.3 (Overall WCF 47.55 + 22.7 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 0.2 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.19 ([19 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) – 0.06 ([19 games against the Indians / 162] * 0.5) + 0.16 ([19 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.6) – 0.06 ([3 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.11 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.07 ([6 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.07 ([6 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) = 69.7 wins

5. Detroit Tigers: 64.0 – 98.0

66.0 (Overall WCF 44.295+ 21.7 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 1.4 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.19 ([19 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) – 0.06 ([19 games against the Indians / 162] * 0.5) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.6) – 0.06 ([3 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.11 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.08 ([7 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) = 64.0 wins

AL West

1. Houston Astros: 95.8 – 66.2

95.1 (Overall WCF 45.595+ 49.5 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 1.3 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.09 ([19 games against the Rangers / 162] * 0.8) + 0.06 ([19 games against the Angels / 162] * 0.5) – 0.21 ([19 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.21 ([19 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.10 ([4 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Reds / 162] * 2.5) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.07 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.10 ([6 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) = 95.8 wins

2. Los Angeles Angels: 87.3 – 74.7

88.6 (Overall WCF 39.085+ 39.5 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 0.5 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.09 ([19 games against the Rangers / 162] * 0.8) – 0.21 ([19 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.21 ([19 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.15 ([19 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.07 ([3 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.06 ([4 games against the Reds / 162] * 2.5) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.06 ([6 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.11 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) = 87.3 wins

3. Oakland Athletics: 85.5 – 74.8

84.1 (49.328 [160/162 * 49.945 Overall WCF] + 34.8 Team WAR Projections [160/162 * 35.2 Team WAR Projections]) + 1.9 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.09 ([19 games against the Rangers / 162] * 0.8) + 0.06 ([19 games against the Angels / 162] * 0.5) – 0.20 ([19 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.15 ([19 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.07 ([3 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Reds / 162] * 2.5) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.07 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.11 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) = 85.5 wins

4. Seattle Mariners: 79.5 – 82.5

76.1 (50.35 [160/162 * 50.98 Overall WCF ] + 25.7 [160/162 * 26.0 Team WAR Projections]) + 1.9 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) + 2 regular season wins – 0.09 ([19 games against the Rangers / 162] * 0.8) + 0.06 ([19 games against the Angels / 162] * 0.5) – 0.20 ([17 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.15 ([19 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.07 ([3 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Reds / 162] * 2.5) + 0.04 ([4 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.07 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.11 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162 * 2.6) = 79.5 wins

5. Texas Rangers: 78.0 – 84.0

77.8 (Overall WCF 53.37 + 24.4 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 0.8 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) + 0.06 ([19 games against the Angels / 162] * 0.5) – 0.21 ([19 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.21 ([19 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.15 ([19 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.07 ([3 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Reds / 162] * 2.5) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.07 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) + 0.11 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) = 78.0 wins

National League

NL East

1. Washington Nationals: 93.1 – 68.9

94.7 wins (Overall WCF 48.02 + 46.7 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 0.1 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.14 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.06 ([19 games against the Mets / 162) * 0.5) + 0.21 ([19 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.39 ([19 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) – 0.89 ([19 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.6) – 0.09 ([6 games against Reds / 162] * 2.5) – 0.03 ([3 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) + 0.06 ([6 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 93.1 wins

2. Atlanta Braves: 86.1 – 75.9

84.0 wins (Overall WCF 48.74 + 35.3 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 3.3 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.06 ([19 games against the Mets / 162) * 0.5) + 0.21 ([19 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.89 ([19 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.6) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.14 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.11 ([7 games against Reds / 162] * 2.5) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.03 ([3 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) + 0.07 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 86.1 wins

3. Philadelphia Phillies: 86.0 – 76.0

79.1 wins (Overall WCF 45.15 + 33.9 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 7.6 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.06 ([19 games against the Mets / 162) * 0.5) + 0.21 ([19 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.39 ([19 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) – 0.21 ([6 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.17 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.11 ([7 games against Reds / 162] * 2.5) + 0.04 ([6 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.03 ([3 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.03 ([4 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) + 0.07 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 86.0 wins

4. New York Mets: 83.3 – 78.7

84.3 wins (Overall WCF 42.765+ 41.5 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 0.5 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) + 0.21 ([19 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.89 ([19 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.6) – 0.39 ([19 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) – 0.21 ([6 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.14 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.11 ([7 games against Reds / 162] * 2.5) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.04 ([4 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) + 0.07 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 83.3 wins

5. Miami Marlins: 62.0 – 100.0

65.5 wins (Overall WCF 44.92 + 20.6 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 1.8 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.06 ([19 games against the Mets / 162) * 0.5) – 0.39 ([19 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) – 0.89 ([19 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.6) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.14 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.11 ([7 games against Reds / 162] * 2.5) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.03 ([3 games against Twins / 162] * 1.6) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Tigers / 162] * 1.4) + 0.07 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 62.0 wins

NL Central

1. Cubs: 90.7 – 71.3

93.5 wins (Overall WCF 48.95 + 44.1 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 1.6 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) + 0.16 ([19 games against Pirates / 162] * 0.5) + 0.12 ([19 games against Cardinals / 162] * 1) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.29 ([19 games against the Reds / 162) * 2.5) – 0.46 ([19 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.33 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) – 0.14 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.04 ([6 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) + 0.08 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.05 ([4 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 90.7 wins

2. Cardinals: 88.0 – 74.0

90.2 wins (Overall WCF 48.1 + 42.1 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 1.0 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.06 ([19 games against Pirates / 162] * 0.5) + 0.19 ([19 games against Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.29 ([19 games against the Reds / 162) * 2.5) – 0.46 ([19 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.21 ([6 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.28 ([6 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) – 0.12 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.04 ([6 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) + 0.08 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.05 ([4 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 88.0 wins

3. Brewers: 87.1 – 74.9

83.8 wins (Overall WCF 49.895 + 33.9 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 3.9 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) + 0.12 ([19 games against Cardinals / 162] * 1) + 0.06 ([19 games against Pirates / 162] * 0.5) + 0.19 ([19 games against Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.29 ([19 games against the Reds / 162) * 2.5) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.33 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) – 0.12 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) + 0.08 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.03 ([4 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.04 ([6 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 87.1 wins

4. Pirates: 85.0 – 77.0

86.6 wins (Overall WCF 49.91 + 36.7 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 0.5 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) + 0.12 ([19 games against Cardinals / 162] * 1) + 0.19 ([19 games against Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.29 ([19 games against the Reds / 162) * 2.5) – 0.46 ([19 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.21 ([6 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.28 ([6 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) – 0.14 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) + 0.07 ([6 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 85.0 wins

5. Reds: 78.7 – 83.3

77.0 wins (Overall WCF 44.335 + 32.7 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 2.5 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) + 0.12 ([19 games against Cardinals / 162] * 1) + 0.19 ([19 games against Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.46 ([19 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) + 0.06 ([19 games against Pirates / 162] * 0.5) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.33 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) – 0.12 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) + 0.08 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Athletics / 160] * 1.9) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Mariners / 160] * 1.9) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.3) – 0.05 ([7 games against the Giants / 162] * 1.1) = 78.7 wins

NL West

1. Dodgers: 92.4 – 69.6

93.5 wins (Overall WCF 43.56 + 49.9 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 0.1 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.13 ([19 games against Giants / 162] * 1.1) + 0.13 ([19 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.66 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.09 ([6 games against the Reds / 162) * 2.5) – 0.17 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.33 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) + 0.07 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.12 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.07 ([6 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) + 0.05 ([3 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) = 92.4 wins

2. Padres: 84.3 – 77.7

79.3 wins (Overall WCF 49.805 + 29.5 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 5.6 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.13 ([19 games against Giants / 162] * 1.1) + 0.13 ([19 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.11 ([7 games against the Reds / 162) * 2.5) – 0.17 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162) * 3.9) – 0.28 ([6 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) + 0.07 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.14 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.07 ([6 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.03 ([4 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) + 0.05 ([3 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) = 84.3 wins

3. Rockies: 83.5 – 78.5

85.2 wins (Overall WCF 51.155 + 34.0 Team WAR Projections [in January]) + 0.1 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.13 ([19 games against Giants / 162] * 1.1) + 0.13 ([19 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.66 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.56 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 4.8) – 0.17 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.09 ([6 games against the Reds / 162) * 2.5) – 0.33 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) + 0.06 ([6 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.12 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.08 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) + 0.06 ([4 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) = 83.5 wins

4. Diamondbacks: 76.9 – 85.1

79.3 wins (Overall WCF 47.045 + 32.3 Team WAR Projections [in January]) – 1.1 (change in Team WAR Projections since then) – 0.13 ([19 games against Giants / 162] * 1.1) – 0.66 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.17 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162] * 3.9) – 0.09 ([6 games against the Reds / 162) * 2.5) – 0.28 ([6 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) + 0.06 ([6 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.14 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.08 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) + 0.05 ([3 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.03 ([4 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) = 76.9 wins

5. Giants: 75.2 – 86.8

75.2 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 1.1 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.13 ([19 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.1) – 0.66 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.6) – 0.11 ([7 games against the Reds / 162) * 2.5) – 0.14 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162) * 3.9) – 0.33 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.6) + 0.06 ([6 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.6) – 0.14 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 3.3) + 0.07 ([6 games against the Marlins / 162] * 1.8) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.1) + 0.05 ([3 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 2.6) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Yankees / 162] * 1.2) = 75.2 wins

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