Projected 2019 Standings: Edition #3

Bryce Harper is now a member of the Philadelphia Phillies organization — signing a 13 year deal worth $330 million. Craig Kimbrel and Dallas Keuchel are remarkably still up for grabs; with that being said, Spring Training is nearly a week-in and the regular season is in less than a month.

Photo: Alex Brandon / AP

In this investigation, we will attempt to project the 2019 standings through finding a relationship / pattern between each team’s overall WAR (all WAR are according to FanGraphs) and the number of games they win. To find this relationship (for each team) — WCF (Wins Correlation Factor) — let’s take a trip back in time. 

1. The formula used to calculate WCF for a single season can be seen below…

WCF = Wins – Team WAR

2. The formula used to calculate an Overall WCF (accounting for entire data sample / last 5 seasons / 2014:18) can be seen below…

Overall WCF = (2018 WCF * 0.30) + (2017 WCF * 0.25) + (2016 WCF * 0.20) + (2015 WCF * 0.15) + (2014 WCF * 0.1) 

Angels

Overall WCF = (44.6 * 0.3) + (50.2 * 0.25) + (47.3 * 0.2) + (55.9 * 0.15) + (53.1 * 0.1) = 13.38 + 12.55 + 9.46 + 8.385 + 5.31 = 49.085

2018 Team WAR: 35.4; 2018 Record: 80-82; WCF: 44.6

2017 Team WAR: 29.8; 2017 Record: 80-82; WCF: 50.2

2016 Team WAR: 26.7; 2016 Record: 74-88; WCF: 47.3

2015 Team WAR: 29.1; 2015 Record: 85-77; WCF: 55.9

2014 Team WAR: 44.9; 2014 Record: 98-64; WCF: 53.1

Astros

Overall WCF = (47.5 * 0.3) + (47.5 * 0.25) + (43.2 * 0.2) + (41.2 * 0.15) + (46.5 * 0.1) = 14.25 + 11.875 + 8.64 + 6.18 + 4.65 = 45.595

2018 Team WAR: 55.5; 2018 Record: 103-59; WCF: 47.5

2017 Team WAR: 53.5; 2017 Record: 101-61; WCF: 47.5

2016 Team WAR: 40.8; 2016 Record: 84-78; WCF: 43.2

2015 Team WAR: 44.8; 2015 Record: 86-76; WCF: 41.2

2014 Team WAR: 23.5; 2014 Record: 70-92; WCF: 46.5

Athletics

Overall WCF = (52.5 * 0.3) + (48.5 * 0.25) + (52.8 * 0.2) + (43.8 * 0.15) + (49.4 * 0.1) = 15.75 + 12.125 + 10.56 + 6.57 + 4.94 = 49.945

2018 Team WAR: 44.5; 2018 Record: 97-65; WCF: 52.5

2017 Team WAR: 26.5; 2017 Record: 75-87; WCF: 48.5

2016 Team WAR: 16.2; 2016 Record: 69-93; WCF: 52.8

2015 Team WAR: 24.2; 2015 Record: 68-94; WCF: 43.8

2014 Team WAR: 38.6; 2014 Record: 88-74; WCF: 49.4

Blue Jays

Overall WCF = (51.9 * 0.3) + (49.2 * 0.25) + (47.6 * 0.2) + (42.8 * 0.15) + (46.7 * 0.1) = 15.57 + 12.3 + 9.52 + 6.42 + 4.67 = 48.48 

2018 Team WAR: 21.1; 2018 Record: 73-89; WCF: 51.9

2017 Team WAR: 26.8; 2017 Record: 76-86; WCF: 49.2

2016 Team WAR: 41.4; 2016 Record: 89-73; WCF: 47.6

2015 Team WAR: 50.2; 2015 Record: 93-69; WCF: 42.8

2014 Team WAR: 36.3; 2014 Record: 83-79; WCF: 46.7

Braves

Overall WCF = (49.3 * 0.3) + (47.7 * 0.25) + (48.7 * 0.2) + (50.1 * 0.15) + (47.7 * 0.1) = 14.79 + 11.925 + 9.74 + 7.515 + 4.77 = 48.74

2018 Team WAR: 40.7; 2018 Record: 90-72; WCF: 49.3

2017 Team WAR: 24.3; 2017 Record: 72-90; WCF: 47.7

2016 Team WAR: 19.3; 2016 Record: 68-93; WCF: 48.7

2015 Team WAR: 16.9; 2015 Record: 67-95; WCF: 50.1

2014 Team WAR: 31.3; 2014 Record: 79-83; WCF: 47.7

Brewers

Overall WCF = (53 * 0.3) + (51.5 * 0.25) + (48.7 * 0.2) + (45.4 * 0.15) + (45.7 * 0.1) = 15.9 + 12.875 + 9.74 + 6.81 + 4.57 = 49.895

2018 Team WAR: 43.0; 2018 Record: 96-67; WCF: 53

2017 Team WAR: 34.5; 2017 Record: 86-76; WCF: 51.5

2016 Team WAR: 24.3; 2016 Record: 73-89; WCF: 48.7

2015 Team WAR: 22.6; 2015 Record: 68-94; WCF: 45.4

2014 Team WAR: 36.3; 2014 Record: 82-80; WCF: 45.7

Cardinals

Overall WCF = (48.1 * 0.3) + (41.4 * 0.25) + (46.9 * 0.2) + (55.6 * 0.15) + (56 * 0.1) = 14.43 + 10.35 + 9.38 + 8.34 + 5.6 = 48.1

2018 Team WAR: 39.9; 2018 Record: 88-74; WCF: 48.1

2017 Team WAR: 41.6; 2017 Record: 83-79; WCF: 41.4

2016 Team WAR: 39.1; 2016 Record: 86-76; WCF: 46.9

2015 Team WAR: 44.4; 2015 Record: 100-62; WCF: 55.6

2014 Team WAR: 34.0; 2014 Record: 90-72; WCF: 56

Cubs

Overall WCF = (54.9 * 0.3) + (48.8 * 0.25) + (46.5 * 0.2) + (48.4 * 0.15) + (37.2 * 0.1) = 16.47 + 12.2 + 9.3 + 7.26 + 3.72 = 48.95

2018 Team WAR: 40.1; 2018 Record: 95-68; WCF: 54.9

2017 Team WAR: 43.2; 2017 Record: 92-70; WCF: 48.8

2016 Team WAR: 56.5; 2016 Record: 103-58; WCF: 46.5

2015 Team WAR: 48.6; 2015 Record: 97-65; WCF: 48.4

2014 Team WAR: 35.8; 2014 Record: 73-89; WCF: 37.2

Diamondbacks

Overall WCF = (48.5 * 0.3) + (50.6 * 0.25) + (42.8 * 0.2) + (46.7 * 0.15) + (42.8 * 0.1) = 14.55 + 12.65 + 8.56 + 7.005 + 4.28 = 47.045

2018 Team WAR: 33.5; 2018 Record: 82-80; WCF: 48.5

2017 Team WAR: 42.4; 2017 Record: 93-69; WCF: 50.6

2016 Team WAR: 26.2; 2016 Record: 69-93; WCF: 42.8

2015 Team WAR: 32.3; 2015 Record: 79-83; WCF: 46.7

2014 Team WAR: 21.2; 2014 Record: 64-98; WCF: 42.8

Dodgers

Overall WCF = (38.5 * 0.3) + (49.2 * 0.25) + (44.9 * 0.2) + (43 * 0.15) + (42.8 * 0.1) = 11.55 + 12.3 + 8.98 + 6.45 + 4.28 = 43.56

2018 Team WAR: 53.5; 2018 Record: 92-71; WCF: 38.5

2017 Team WAR: 54.8; 2017 Record: 104-58; WCF: 49.2

2016 Team WAR: 46.1; 2016 Record: 91-71; WCF: 44.9

2015 Team WAR: 49.0; 2015 Record: 92-70; WCF: 43

2014 Team WAR: 51.2; 2014 Record: 94-58; WCF: 42.8

Giants

Overall WCF = (53.6 * 0.3) + (43 * 0.25) + (46.2 * 0.2) + (45.6 * 0.15) + (51.7 * 0.1) = 16.08 + 10.75 + 9.24 + 6.84 + 5.17 = 48.08

2018 Team WAR: 19.4; 2018 Record: 73-89; WCF: 53.6

2017 Team WAR: 21.0; 2017 Record: 64-98; WCF: 43

2016 Team WAR: 40.8; 2016 Record: 87-75; WCF: 46.2

2015 Team WAR: 38.4; 2015 Record: 84-78; WCF: 45.6

2014 Team WAR: 36.3; 2014 Record: 88-74; WCF: 51.7

Indians

Overall WCF = (40.7 * 0.3) + (44.3 * 0.25) + (51.4 * 0.2) + (41.1 * 0.15) + (50.5 * 0.1) = 12.21 + 11.075 + 10.28 + 6.165 + 5.05 = 44.78

2018 Team WAR: 50.3; 2018 Record: 91-71; WCF: 40.7

2017 Team WAR: 57.7; 2017 Record: 102-60; WCF: 44.3

2016 Team WAR: 42.6; 2016 Record: 94-67; WCF: 51.4

2015 Team WAR: 39.9; 2015 Record: 81-80; WCF: 41.1

2014 Team WAR: 34.5; 2014 Record: 85-77; WCF: 50.5

Mariners

Overall WCF = (54 * 0.3) + (45.9 * 0.25) + (50.8 * 0.2) + (49.7 * 0.15) + (56.9 * 0.1) = 16.2 + 11.475 + 10.16 + 7.455 + 5.69 = 50.98

2018 Team WAR: 35.0; 2018 Record: 89-73; WCF: 54

2017 Team WAR: 32.1; 2017 Record: 78-84; WCF: 45.9

2016 Team WAR: 35.2; 2016 Record: 86-76; WCF: 50.8

2015 Team WAR: 26.3; 2015 Record: 76-86; WCF: 49.7

2014 Team WAR: 30.1; 2014 Record: 87-75; WCF: 56.9

Marlins

Overall WCF = (49.7 * 0.3) + (43.1 * 0.25) + (41.8 * 0.2) + (43.3 * 0.15) + (43.8 * 0.1) = 14.91 + 10.775 + 8.36 + 6.495 + 4.38 = 44.92

2018 Team WAR: 13.3; 2018 Record: 63-98; WCF: 49.7

2017 Team WAR: 33.9; 2017 Record: 77-85; WCF: 43.1

2016 Team WAR: 37.2; 2016 Record: 79-82; WCF: 41.8

2015 Team WAR: 27.7; 2015 Record: 71-91; WCF: 43.3

2014 Team WAR: 33.2; 2014 Record: 77-85; WCF: 43.8

Mets

Overall WCF = (43.7 * 0.3) + (38.4 * 0.25) + (41.5 * 0.2) + (46.1 * 0.15) + (48.4 * 0.1) = 13.11 + 9.6 + 8.3 + 6.915 + 4.84 = 42.765

2018 Team WAR: 33.3; 2018 Record: 77-85; WCF: 43.7

2017 Team WAR: 31.6; 2017 Record: 70-92; WCF: 38.4

2016 Team WAR: 45.5; 2016 Record: 87-75; WCF: 41.5

2015 Team WAR: 43.9; 2015 Record: 90-72; WCF: 46.1

2014 Team WAR: 30.6; 2014 Record: 79-83; WCF: 48.4

Nationals

Overall WCF = (42.5 * 0.3) + (50.9 * 0.25) + (57.8 * 0.2) + (42.9 * 0.15) + (45.5 * 0.1) = 12.75 + 12.725 + 11.56 + 6.435 + 4.55 = 48.02

2018 Team WAR: 39.5; 2018 Record: 82-80; WCF: 42.5

2017 Team WAR: 46.1; 2017 Record: 97-65; WCF: 50.9

2016 Team WAR: 37.2; 2016 Record: 95-67; WCF: 57.8

2015 Team WAR: 40.1; 2015 Record: 83-79; WCF: 42.9

2014 Team WAR: 50.5; 2014 Record: 96-66; WCF: 45.5

Orioles

Overall WCF = (38.9 * 0.3) + (43.4 * 0.25) + (53 * 0.2) + (47.7 * 0.15) + (55.7 * 0.1) = 11.67 + 10.85 + 10.6 + 7.155 + 5.57 = 45.845

2018 Team WAR: 8.1; 2018 Record: 47-115; WCF: 38.9

2017 Team WAR: 31.6; 2017 Record: 75-87; WCF: 43.4

2016 Team WAR: 36.0; 2016 Record: 89-73; WCF: 53

2015 Team WAR: 33.3; 2015 Record: 81-81; WCF: 47.7

2014 Team WAR: 40.3; 2014 Record: 96-66; WCF: 55.7

Padres

Overall WCF = (45.5 * 0.3) + (56.4 * 0.25) + (47.8 * 0.2) + (47.9 * 0.15) + (53.1 * 0.1) = 13.65 + 14.1 + 9.56 + 7.185 + 5.31 = 49.805

2018 Team WAR: 20.5; 2018 Record: 66-96; WCF: 45.5

2017 Team WAR: 14.6; 2017 Record: 71-91; WCF: 56.4

2016 Team WAR: 20.2; 2016 Record: 68-94; WCF: 47.8

2015 Team WAR: 26.1; 2015 Record: 74-88; WCF: 47.9

2014 Team WAR: 23.9; 2014 Record: 77-85; WCF: 53.1

Phillies

Overall WCF = (48 * 0.3) + (41.1 * 0.25) + (47.2 * 0.2) + (43.7 * 0.15) + (44.8 * 0.1) = 14.4 + 10.275 + 9.44 + 6.555 + 4.48 = 45.15

2018 Team WAR: 32.0; 2018 Record: 80-82; WCF: 48

2017 Team WAR: 24.9; 2017 Record: 66-96; WCF: 41.1

2016 Team WAR: 23.8; 2016 Record: 71-91; WCF: 47.2

2015 Team WAR: 19.3; 2015 Record: 63-99; WCF: 43.7

2014 Team WAR: 28.2; 2014 Record: 73-89; WCF: 44.8

Pirates

Overall WCF = (49.3 * 0.3) + (48.8 * 0.25) + (49.8 * 0.2) + (54.2 * 0.15) + (48.3 * 0.1) = 14.79 + 12.2 + 9.96 + 8.13 + 4.83 = 49.91

2018 Team WAR: 32.7; 2018 Record: 82-79; WCF: 49.3

2017 Team WAR: 26.2; 2017 Record: 75-87; WCF: 48.8

2016 Team WAR: 28.2; 2016 Record: 78-83; WCF: 49.8

2015 Team WAR: 43.8; 2015 Record: 98-64; WCF: 54.2

2014 Team WAR: 39.7; 2014 Record: 88-74; WCF: 48.3

Rangers

Overall WCF = (43.9 * 0.3) + (55.7 * 0.25) + (66.7 * 0.2) + (55.5 * 0.15) + (46.1 * 0.1) = 13.17 + 13.925 + 13.34 + 8.325 + 4.61 = 53.37

2018 Team WAR: 23.1; 2018 Record: 67-95; WCF: 43.9

2017 Team WAR: 22.3; 2017 Record: 78-84; WCF: 55.7

2016 Team WAR: 28.3; 2016 Record: 95-67; WCF: 66.7

2015 Team WAR: 32.5; 2015 Record: 88-74; WCF: 55.5

2014 Team WAR: 20.9; 2014 Record: 67-95; WCF: 46.1

Rays

Overall WCF = (49.7 * 0.3) + (43.2 * 0.25) + (38.9 * 0.2) + (45.8 * 0.15) + (42.6 * 0.1) = 14.91 + 10.8 + 7.78 + 6.87 + 4.26 = 44.62

2018 Team WAR: 40.3; 2018 Record: 90-72; WCF: 49.7

2017 Team WAR: 36.8; 2017 Record: 80-82; WCF: 43.2

2016 Team WAR: 29.1; 2016 Record: 68-94; WCF: 38.9

2015 Team WAR: 34.2; 2015 Record: 80-82; WCF: 45.8

2014 Team WAR: 34.4; 2014 Record: 77-85; WCF: 42.6

Red Sox

Overall WCF = (57.8 * 0.3) + (51.6 * 0.25) + (39.6 * 0.2) + (48.5 * 0.15) + (43.1 * 0.1) = 17.34 + 12.9 + 7.92 + 7.275 + 4.31 = 49.745

2018 Team WAR: 50.2; 2018 Record: 108-54; WCF: 57.8

2017 Team WAR: 41.4; 2017 Record: 93-69; WCF: 51.6

2016 Team WAR: 53.4; 2016 Record: 93-69; WCF: 39.6

2015 Team WAR: 29.5; 2015 Record: 78-84; WCF: 48.5

2014 Team WAR: 27.9; 2014 Record: 71-91; WCF: 43.1

Reds

Overall WCF = (41.5 * 0.3) + (42.7 * 0.25) + (54.4 * 0.2) + (36.6 * 0.15) + (48.4 * 0.1) = 12.45 + 10.675 + 10.88 + 5.49 + 4.84 = 44.335

2018 Team WAR: 25.5; 2018 Record: 67-95; WCF: 41.5

2017 Team WAR: 25.3; 2017 Record: 68-94; WCF: 42.7

2016 Team WAR: 13.6; 2016 Record: 68-94; WCF: 54.4

2015 Team WAR: 27.4; 2015 Record: 64-98; WCF: 36.6

2014 Team WAR: 27.6; 2014 Record: 76-86; WCF: 48.4

Rockies

Overall WCF = (57.3 * 0.3) + (55 * 0.25) + (42.8 * 0.2) + (49.9 * 0.15) + (41.7 * 0.1) = 17.19 + 13.75 + 8.56 + 7.485 + 4.17 = 51.155

2018 Team WAR: 33.7; 2018 Record: 91-72; WCF: 57.3

2017 Team WAR: 32.0; 2017 Record: 87-75; WCF: 55

2016 Team WAR: 32.2; 2016 Record: 75-87; WCF: 42.8

2015 Team WAR: 18.1; 2015 Record: 68-94; WCF: 49.9

2014 Team WAR: 24.3; 2014 Record: 66-96; WCF: 41.7

Royals

Overall WCF = (39.4 * 0.3) + (54.6 * 0.25) + (57.7 * 0.2) + (59.5 * 0.15) + (53 * 0.1) = 11.82 + 13.65 + 11.54 + 8.925 + 5.3 = 51.235

2018 Team WAR: 18.6; 2018 Record: 58-104; WCF: 39.4

2017 Team WAR: 25.4; 2017 Record: 80-82; WCF: 54.6

2016 Team WAR: 23.3; 2016 Record: 81-81; WCF: 57.7

2015 Team WAR: 35.5; 2015 Record: 95-67; WCF: 59.5

2014 Team WAR: 36.0; 2014 Record: 89-73; WCF: 53

Tigers

Overall WCF = (47.2 * 0.3) + (37.5 * 0.25) + (47 * 0.2) + (45.4 * 0.15) + (45.5 * 0.1) = 14.16 + 9.375 + 9.4 + 6.81 + 4.55 = 44.295

2018 Team WAR: 16.8; 2018 Record: 64-98; WCF: 47.2

2017 Team WAR: 26.5; 2017 Record: 64-98; WCF: 37.5

2016 Team WAR: 39.0; 2016 Record: 86-75; WCF: 47

2015 Team WAR: 28.6; 2015 Record: 74-87; WCF: 45.4

2014 Team WAR: 44.5; 2014 Record: 90-72; WCF: 45.5

Twins

Overall WCF = (50.4 * 0.3) + (50.1 * 0.25) + (36.5 * 0.2) + (55.1 * 0.15) + (39.5 * 0.1) = 15.12 + 12.525 + 7.3 + 8.265 + 3.95 = 47.16

2018 Team WAR: 27.6; 2018 Record: 78-84; WCF: 50.4

2017 Team WAR: 34.9; 2017 Record: 85-77; WCF: 50.1

2016 Team WAR: 22.5; 2016 Record: 59-103; WCF: 36.5

2015 Team WAR: 27.9; 2015 Record: 83-79; WCF: 55.1

2014 Team WAR: 30.5; 2014 Record: 70-92; WCF: 39.5

White Sox

Overall WCF = (44.8 * 0.3) + (49.8 * 0.25) + (46.5 * 0.2) + (49.8 * 0.15) + (48.9 * 0.1) = 13.44 + 12.45 + 9.3 + 7.47 + 4.89 = 47.55

2018 Team WAR: 17.2; 2018 Record: 62-100; WCF: 44.8

2017 Team WAR: 17.2; 2017 Record: 67-95; WCF: 49.8

2016 Team WAR: 31.5; 2016 Record: 78-84; WCF: 46.5

2015 Team WAR: 26.2; 2015 Record: 76-86; WCF: 49.8

2014 Team WAR: 24.1; 2014 Record: 73-89; WCF: 48.9

Yankees

Overall WCF = (44 * 0.3) + (38.1 * 0.25) + (50.4 * 0.2) + (48.1 * 0.15) + (48.2 * 0.1) = 13.2 + 9.525 + 10.08 + 7.215 + 4.82 = 44.84

2018 Team WAR: 56.0; 2018 Record: 100-62; WCF: 44

2017 Team WAR: 52.9; 2017 Record: 91-71; WCF: 38.1

2016 Team WAR: 33.6; 2016 Record: 84-78; WCF: 50.4

2015 Team WAR: 38.9; 2015 Record: 87-75; WCF: 48.1

2014 Team WAR: 35.8; 2014 Record: 84-78; WCF: 48.2

2019 Projected Record = Overall WCF + 2019 Team WAR Projections (per FanGraphs Depth Charts projections

Now we will account for more changes in Team WAR Projections (based on FanGraphs’ Depth Charts as of Feb. 28th at 11:11 am BUT important to note that Harper’s projection is indeed included with the Phillies) since the 1st and 2nd editions (early Jan. and mid-Feb.), which can be seen below…

American League

AL East

  1. Boston Red Sox: -1.2 since Edition #1 (-1.1 since Edition #2)
  2. New York Yankees: +2.4 (+2.5)
  3. Tampa Bay Rays: -1.4 (-1.2)
  4. Toronto Blue Jays: -0.8 (-0.7)
  5. Baltimore Orioles: +1.3 (+0.4)

AL Central

  1. Cleveland Indians: -0.1 (+0.1)
  2. Minnesota Twins: +1.5 (+0.8)
  3. Kansas City Royals: 0 (-0.4)
  4. Chicago White Sox: -0.3 (0)
  5. Detroit Tigers: -0.3 (-0.1)

AL West

  1. Houston Astros: +1.4 (+1.7)
  2. Los Angeles Angels: -0.3 (-0.8)
  3. Oakland Athletics: +2.7 (+3.2)
  4. Texas Rangers: -0.3 (-2.1)
  5. Seattle Mariners: +2.8 (+2.4)

National League

NL East

  1. Washington Nationals: +0.2 (+0.5)
  2. New York Mets: -0.4 (-0.7)
  3. Atlanta Braves: +2.6 (+2)
  4. Philadelphia Phillies: +7.8 (+4.8)
  5. Miami Marlins: -4.1 (-3.1)

NL Central

  1. Chicago Cubs: -1.4 (-1.7)
  2. St. Louis Cardinals: -1 (-1)
  3. Pittsburgh Pirates: -1 (-0.5)
  4. Milwaukee Brewers: +4.5 (+2.5)
  5. Cincinnati Reds: +3.2 (+0.1)

NL West

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 0 (-0.1)
  2. Colorado Rockies: +0.4 (+0.6)
  3. Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.7 (+1.4)
  4. San Diego Padres: +5.5 (+0.7)
  5. San Francisco Giants: +1 (-0.1)

We also need to bump/boost teams down/up depending on how the outlook for other teams has changed. WAR changes less than 0.3 will be left alone (won’t affect other teams directly). WAR changes of 1.0 WAR or less will not be introduced to teams outside that division. Here are the updated standings…

American League

AL East

1. New York Yankees: 99.5 – 62.5

  • Overall Change: +2.2 wins

97.3 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) +2.4 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.15 ([19 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) + 0.16 ([19 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.09 ([19 games against the Blue Jays / 162] * 0.8) + 0.13 ([19 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.10 ([3 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) 1) – 0.04 ([4 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.06 ([6 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.1 ([6 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 99.5 wins

2. Boston Red Sox: 98.7 – 63.3

  • Overall Change: -1.9 wins (since Edition #1)

100.6 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 1.2 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.15 ([19 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.28 ([19 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.16 ([19 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.09 ([19 games against the Blue Jays / 162] * 0.8) – 0.10 ([3 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) 1) – 0.03 ([3 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.06 ([6 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 98.7 wins

3. Tampa Bay Rays: 80.2 – 81.8

  • Overall Change: -2.1

82.3 (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 1.4 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.15 ([19 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.28 ([19 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.09 ([19 games against the Blue Jays / 162] * 0.8) + 0.13 ([19 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.10 ([3 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) 1) – 0.03 ([3 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.06 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.10 ([6 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 80.2 wins

4. Toronto Blue Jays: 77.4 – 84.6

  • Overall Change: -1.3 wins

78.7 (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 0.8 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.15 ([19 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.28 ([19 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.16 ([19 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.13 ([19 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.10 ([3 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) 1) – 0.03 ([3 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.06 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.1 ([6 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.10 ([6 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 77.4 wins

5. Baltimore Orioles: 62.1 – 99.9

  • Overall Change: +0.9

61.2 (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 1.3 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.28 ([19 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.16 ([19 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.09 ([19 games against the Blue Jays / 162] * 0.8) + 0.13 ([19 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.14 ([4 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) 1) – 0.03 ([3 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.06 ([6 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 62.1 wins

AL Central

1. Cleveland Indians: 89.9 – 72.1

  • Overall Change: -0.6

90.5 (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 0.1 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.18 ([19 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) + 0.04 ([19 games against the White Sox / 162] * 0.3) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Tigers / 162] * 0.3) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.8) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.10 ([4 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.10 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.04 ([6 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.1 ([6 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.10 ([6 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 89.9 wins

2. Minnesota Twins: 84.6 – 77.4

  • Overall Change: +1.1

83.5 (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 1.5 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.04 ([19 games against the White Sox / 162] * 0.3) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Tigers / 162] * 0.3) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.8) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.08 ([3 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.09 ([6 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.04 ([6 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 84.6 wins

3. Kansas City Royals: 71.7 – 90.3

  • Overall Change: -0.6

72.3 (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 0 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.18 ([19 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) + 0.04 ([19 games against the White Sox / 162] * 0.3) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Tigers / 162] * 0.3) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.8) – 0.06 ([4 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.08 ([3 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.10 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.04 ([6 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 71.7 wins

4. Chicago White Sox: 69.4 – 92.6

  • Overall Change: -0.9

70.3 (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 0.3 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.18 ([19 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Tigers / 162] * 0.3) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.8) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.08 ([3 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.10 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.1 ([6 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.10 ([6 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 69.4 wins

5. Detroit Tigers: 65.1 – 96.9

  • Overall Change: -0.9

66.0 (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 0.3 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.18 ([19 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) + 0.04 ([19 games against the White Sox / 162] * 0.3) – 0.14 ([3 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.8) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.08 ([3 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.09 ([6 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.12 ([7 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 65.1 wins

AL West

1. Houston Astros: 95.8 – 66.2

  • Overall Change: +0.7

95.1 (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 1.4 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Rangers / 162] * 0.3) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Angels / 162] * 0.3) – 0.32 ([19 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.33 ([19 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.11 ([4 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.06 ([3 games against the Reds / 162] * 3.2) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.06 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.05 ([6 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.10 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.04 ([6 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) = 95.8 wins

2. Los Angeles Angels: 87.2 – 74.8

  • Overall Change: -1.4

88.6 (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 0.3 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Rangers / 162] * 0.3) – 0.32 ([19 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.33 ([19 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.16 ([19 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) – 0.08 ([3 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.08 ([4 games against the Reds / 162] * 3.2) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.06 ([6 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.10 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) = 87.2 wins

2. Oakland Athletics: 87.2 – 74.8

  • Overall Change: +2.1

85.1 (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 2.7 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Rangers / 162] * 0.3) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Angels / 162] * 0.3) – 0.33 ([19 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.16 ([19 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) – 0.08 ([3 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.06 ([3 games against the Reds / 162] * 3.2) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.06 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.09 ([6 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) = 87.2 wins

4. Seattle Mariners: 79.2 – 82.8

  • Overall Change: +0.1

77.0 (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 2.8 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Rangers / 162] * 0.3) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Angels / 162] * 0.3) – 0.32 ([19 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.16 ([19 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) – 0.08 ([3 games against the Brewers / 162] * 2) – 0.06 ([3 games against the Reds / 162] * 3.1) + 0.03 ([4 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.06 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.10 ([7 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) = 79.2 wins

5. Texas Rangers: 76.5 – 83.5

  • Overall Change: -1.3

77.8 (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 0.3 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.04 ([19 games against the Angels / 162] * 0.3) – 0.32 ([19 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.33 ([19 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.16 ([19 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) – 0.08 ([3 games against the Brewers / 162] * 2) – 0.06 ([3 games against the Reds / 162] * 3.1) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.06 ([7 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) – 0.09 ([6 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.05 ([7 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) = 76.5 wins

National League

NL East

1. Washington Nationals: 93.6 – 68.4

  • Overall Change: -1.1

94.7 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 0.2 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.17 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) + 0.05 ([19 games against the Mets / 162) * 0.4) + 0.48 ([19 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.30 ([19 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) – 0.91 ([19 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.8) – 0.12 ([6 games against Reds / 162] * 3.2) – 0.03 ([3 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.07 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) = 93.6 wins

2. Philadelphia Phillies: 86.6 – 75.4

  • Overall Change: +7.5

79.1 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 7.8 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.05 ([19 games against the Mets / 162) * 0.4) + 0.48 ([19 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.30 ([19 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) – 0.20 ([6 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.19 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.14 ([7 games against Reds / 162] * 3.2) – 0.06 ([6 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.03 ([3 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) = 86.6 wins

3. Atlanta Braves: 85.6 – 76.4

  • Overall Change: +1.6

84.0 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 2.6 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.05 ([19 games against the Mets / 162) * 0.4) + 0.48 ([19 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.91 ([19 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.8) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.17 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.14 ([7 games against Reds / 162] * 3.2) – 0.07 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.03 ([3 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) = 85.6 wins

4. New York Mets: 82.6 – 79.4

  • Overall Change: -1.7

84.3 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 0.4 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.48 ([19 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.91 ([19 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.8) – 0.30 ([19 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) – 0.20 ([6 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.17 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.14 ([7 games against Reds / 162] * 3.2) – 0.07 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.04 ([4 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) = 82.6 wins

5. Miami Marlins: 59.7 – 102.3

  • Overall Change: -5.8

65.5 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 4.1 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.05 ([19 games against the Mets / 162) * 0.4) – 0.30 ([19 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) – 0.91 ([19 games against the Phillies / 162] * 7.8) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.17 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.14 ([7 games against Reds / 162] * 3.2) – 0.07 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.03 ([3 games against Twins / 162] * 1.5) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) = 59.7 wins

NL Central

1. Cubs: 90.7 – 71.3

  • Overall Change: -2.8

93.5 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 1.4 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.12 ([19 games against Pirates / 162] * 1) + 0.12 ([19 games against Cardinals / 162] * 1) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.38 ([19 games against the Reds / 162) * 3.2) – 0.53 ([19 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.34 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) – 0.11 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) – 0.06 ([6 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) + 0.18 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.07 ([4 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.03 ([3 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 90.7 wins

2. Cardinals: 87.9 – 74.1

  • Overall Change: -2.3

90.2 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 1.0 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.12 ([19 games against Pirates / 162] * 1) + 0.16 ([19 games against Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.38 ([19 games against the Reds / 162) * 3.2) – 0.53 ([19 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.21 ([6 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.29 ([6 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) – 0.10 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) – 0.06 ([6 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) + 0.18 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.07 ([4 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.03 ([3 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 87.9 wins

3. Brewers: 87.6 – 74.4

  • Overall Change: +1.3

83.8 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 4.5 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.12 ([19 games against Cardinals / 162] * 1) + 0.12 ([19 games against Pirates / 162] * 1) + 0.16 ([19 games against Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.38 ([19 games against the Reds / 162) * 3.2) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.34 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) –– 0.10 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) – 0.07 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) + 0.18 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.03 ([4 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 87.6 wins

4. Pirates: 84.3 – 77.7

  • Overall Change: -2.3

86.6 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) – 1 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.12 ([19 games against Cardinals / 162] * 1) + 0.16 ([19 games against Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.38 ([19 games against the Reds / 162) * 3.2) – 0.53 ([19 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.21 ([6 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.29 ([6 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) –– 0.11 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) – 0.07 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) + 0.15 ([6 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.03 ([3 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 84.3 wins

5. Reds: 79.3 – 82.7

  • Overall Change: +2.3

77.0 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 3.2 (change in Team WAR Projections) + 0.12 ([19 games against Cardinals / 162] * 1) + 0.16 ([19 games against Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.53 ([19 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) + 0.12 ([19 games against Pirates / 162] * 1) – 0.24 ([7 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.34 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) – 0.10 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) – 0.06 ([7 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) + 0.18 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Athletics / 162] * 2.7) – 0.05 ([3 games against the Mariners / 162] * 2.8) – 0.03 ([3 games against the Astros / 162] * 1.4) = 79.3 wins

NL West

1. Dodgers: 91.9 – 70.1

  • Overall Change: -1.0 wins

93.5 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 0 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.12 ([19 games against Giants / 162] * 1) – 0.20 ([19 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.65 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.05 ([19 games against the Rockies / 162] * 0.4) – 0.12 ([6 games against the Reds / 162) * 3.2) – 0.19 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.34 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.10 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.15 ([6 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) + 0.03 ([4 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.02 ([3 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) = 91.9 wins

2. Padres: 83.9 – 78.1

  • Overall Change: +4.6

79.3 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 5.5 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.12 ([19 games against Giants / 162] * 1) – 0.20 ([19 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.05 ([19 games against the Rockies / 162] * 0.4) – 0.14 ([7 games against the Reds / 162) * 3.2) – 0.19 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162) * 4.5) – 0.29 ([6 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) + 0.06 ([7 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.11 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.15 ([6 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.03 ([4 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.02 ([3 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) = 83.9 wins

3. Rockies: 83.1 – 78.9

  • Overall Change: -2.1

85.2 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 0.4 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.12 ([19 games against Giants / 162] * 1) – 0.20 ([19 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.65 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.56 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 4.8) – 0.19 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.12 ([6 games against the Reds / 162) * 3.2) – 0.34 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.10 ([6 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.18 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) + 0.03 ([4 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.03 ([4 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) = 83.1 wins

4. Diamondbacks: 79.7 – 82.3

  • Overall Change: +0.4

79.3 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 1.7 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.12 ([19 games against Giants / 162] * 1) – 0.65 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.05 ([19 games against the Rockies / 162] * 0.4) – 0.19 ([7 games against the Brewers / 162] * 4.5) – 0.12 ([6 games against the Reds / 162) * 3.2) – 0.29 ([6 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.11 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.18 ([7 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.02 ([3 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.06 ([4 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) = 79.7 wins

5. Giants: 74.7 – 87.3

  • Overall Change: -0.5

75.2 wins (Projected Record from Edition #1) + 1.0 (change in Team WAR Projections) – 0.20 ([19 games against the Diamondbacks / 162] * 1.7) – 0.65 ([19 games against the Padres / 162] * 5.5) – 0.05 ([19 games against the Rockies / 162] * 0.4) – 0.14 ([7 games against the Reds / 162) * 3.2) – 0.17 ([6 games against the Brewers / 162) * 4.5) – 0.34 ([7 games against the Phillies / 162) * 7.8) + 0.05 ([6 games against the Cubs / 162] * 1.4) – 0.11 ([7 games against the Braves / 162] * 2.6) + 0.15 ([6 games against the Marlins / 162] * 4.1) – 0.02 ([3 games against the Orioles / 162) * 1.3) + 0.03 ([3 games against the Rays / 162] * 1.4) + 0.02 ([3 games against the Red Sox / 162] * 1.1) – 0.04 ([3 games against the Yankees / 162] * 2.4) = 74.7 wins

If you’re interested in receiving an updated Standings Projections prior to the start of the regular season, make sure to follow me on Twitter @MaxSportsStudio.

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