Which Rental Players are the most Valuable?

In this investigation, we will establish a ranking of the most valuable players who are pending UFAs (unrestricted free-agents who are scheduled to become FAs after this season — 2019) on teams who are undoubtedly going to be sellers at the trade deadline. It is important to note that players on teams who are within 4 points of a playoff spot are to be excluded. Here is a list of the pending UFAs (by team) who will presumably be made available…

Arizona Coyotes

Forwards

C Jordan Weal (age 26)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 10 (3 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.75 million (per Spotrac)
  • Contract value factor: 2.86 (2.86 points / $0.5 million)

LW Mario Kempe (age 30)

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 7 (3 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7 million
  • Contract value factor: 5

RW Richard Panik (age 27)

  • Games played: 52
  • Points: 22 (10 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.93

Defensemen

D Jordan Oesterle (age 26)

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 18 (5 goals and 13 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 13.85

Goalies

G Calvin Pickard (age 26)

  • Games played: 13
  • Wins: 4
  • Total cap hit: $0.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.5 (2.5 wins / $0.5 million)

Anaheim Ducks

Forwards

C Brian Gibbons (age 30)

  • Games played: 43
  • Points: 5 (2 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.5

C Derek Grant (age 28)

  • Games played: 33
  • Points: 6 (3 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.62

RW Jakob Silfverberg (age 27)

  • Games played: 47
  • Points: 20 (12 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.67

Defensemen

D Michael Del Zotto (age 28)

  • Games played: 29
  • Points: 5 (1 goal and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.83

Goalies

G Chad Johnson (age 32)

  • Games played: 19
  • Wins: 2
  • Total cap hit: $1.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.57

G Ryan Miller (age 38)

  • Games played: 10
  • Wins: 4
  • Total cap hit: $2 million
  • Contract value factor: 1

Detroit Red Wings

Forwards

RW Gustav Nyquist (age 29)

  • Games played: 56
  • Points: 47 (14 goals and 33 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.95

LW Thomas Vanek (age 34)

  • Games played: 48
  • Points: 27 (9 goals and 16 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.5

Defensemen

D Luke Witkowski (age 28)

  • Games played: 18
  • Points: 2 (0 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.33

D Nick Jensen (age 28)

  • Games played: 55
  • Points: 13 (2 goals and 11 assists)
  • Base salary: $0.8125 million
  • Contract value factor: 8

D Niklas Kronwall (age 37)

  • Games played: 53
  • Points: 14 (2 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.47

Goalies

G Jimmy Howard (age 34)

  • Games played: 37
  • Wins: 15
  • Total cap hit: $5.291667 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.42

Edmonton Oilers

Forwards

RW Alex Chiasson (age 28)

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 27 (17 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 20.77

Defensemen

D Alex Petrovic (age 26)

  • Games played: 32
  • Points: 2 (0 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.95 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.51

D Kevin Gravel (age 26)

  • Games played: 32
  • Points: 3 (0 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.14

Florida Panthers

Forwards

C Derick Brassard (age 31)

  • Games played: 45
  • Points: 18 (10 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.5

C Micheal Haley (age 32)

  • Games played: 24
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.825 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.82

C Riley Sheahan (age 27)

  • Games played: 54
  • Points: 12 (7 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.1 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.86

RW Troy Brouwer (age 33)

  • Games played: 47
  • Points: 11 (7 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.47

Los Angeles Kings

Forwards

LW Carl Hagelin (age 30)

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 8 (2 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4 million
  • Contract value factor: 1

Defensemen

D Oscar Fantenberg (age 27)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 2 (1 goal and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

New Jersey Devils

Forwards

RW Drew Stafford (age 33)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 8 (2 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.81 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.94

C Marcus Johansson (age 28)

  • Games played: 43
  • Points: 22 (10 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.583334 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.40

Defensemen

D Ben Lovejoy (age 34)

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 6 (1 goal and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.666667 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.12

D Egor Yakovlev (age 27)

  • Games played: 14
  • Points: 5 (2 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.726058 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.44

Goalies

G Keith Kinkaid (age 29)

  • Games played: 38
  • Wins: 15
  • Total cap hit: $1.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 6

New York Rangers

Forwards

C Kevin Hayes (age 26)

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 38 (13 goals and 25 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.175 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.67

RW Mats Zuccarello (age 31)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 32 (9 goals and 23 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.56

Defensemen

D Adam McQuaid (age 32)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 5 (2 goals and 3 assists)
  • Base salary: $2.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.91

Ottawa Senators

Forwards

LW Magnus Paajarvi-Svensson (age 27)

  • Games played: 53
  • Points: 8 (7 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.44

RW Mark Stone (age 26)

  • Games played: 55
  • Points: 56 (25 goals and 31 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $7.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.81

C Matt Duchene (age 28)

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 53 (25 goals and 28 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.42

C Ryan Dzingel (age 26)

  • Games played: 53
  • Points: 41 (21 goals and 20 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 11.39

Goalies

G Anders Nilsson (age 28)

  • Games played: 22
  • Wins: 9
  • Total cap hit: $2.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.8

Philadelphia Flyers

Forwards

C Jori Lehtera (age 31)

  • Games played: 27
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.7 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.32

LW Michael Raffl (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 11 (4 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.34

C Phil Varone (age 30)

  • Games played: 25
  • Points: 5 (3 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.85

RW Wayne Simmonds (age 30)

  • Games played: 55
  • Points: 24 (16 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.975 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.02

Goalies

G Brian Elliott (age 33)

  • Games played: 14
  • Wins: 6
  • Total cap hit: $2.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.09

G Michal Neuvirth (age 30)

  • Games played: 7
  • Wins: 1
  • Total cap hit: $2.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.2

G Mike McKenna (age 35)

  • Games played: 11
  • Wins: 1
  • Total cap hit: $0.7 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.71

Median “forwards contract value factor” – 3.74 points / $0.5 million

Median “defensemen contract value factor” – 1.47 points / $0.5 million

Median “goalies contract value factor” – 1.15 wins / $0.5 million

It is essential that we account for that fact that teams often overpay for rental players, thus we will perform this investigation taking into consideration the aforementioned tendency of contending teams to concede an excessive amount of value…

Median “forwards contract value factor” – (3.74 points / $0.5 million) * 2/3 = 2.5 points / $0.5 million

Median “defensemen contract value factor” – (1.40 points / $0.5 million) * 2/3 = 1 point / $0.5 million

Median “goalies contract value factor” – (1.15 wins / $0.5 million) * 2/3 = 0.8 wins / $0.5 million

In order to gauge the trade value of each player, we will implement the following formula…

Forwards: player x points / 2.5 = y; y – total cap hit ($) = trade value

Defensemen: player x points / 1 = y; (y * 0.5) – total cap hit ($) = trade value

Goalies: player x wins / 0.8 = y; (y * 0.5) – total cap hit ($) = trade value

It is important to note that trade values are only comparable to other players in that respective category / position.

Here is a ranking of the most valuable forwards…

1. C Matt Duchene (age 28) / Ottawa Senators

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 53 (25 goals and 28 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Trade value: 15.2
Photo: Richard A. Whittaker/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

2. RW Mark Stone (age 26) / Ottawa Senators

  • Games played: 55
  • Points: 56 (25 goals and 31 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $7.35 million
  • Trade value: 15.05

3. C Ryan Dzingel (age 26) / Ottawa Senators

  • Games played: 53
  • Points: 41 (21 goals and 20 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.8 million
  • Trade value: 14.6

4. RW Gustav Nyquist (age 29) / Detroit Red Wings

  • Games played: 56
  • Points: 47 (14 goals and 33 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.75 million
  • Trade value: 14.05

5. RW Alex Chiasson (age 28) / Edmonton Oilers

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 27 (17 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Trade value: 10.15

6. C Kevin Hayes (age 26) / New York Rangers

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 38 (13 goals and 25 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.175 million
  • Trade value: 10.03

7. RW Mats Zuccarello (age 31) / New York Rangers

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 32 (9 goals and 23 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 8.3

8. LW Thomas Vanek (age 34) / Detroit Red Wings

  • Games played: 48
  • Points: 27 (11 goals and 16 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Trade value: 7.8

9. RW Richard Panik (age 27) / Arizona Coyotes

  • Games played: 52
  • Points: 22 (10 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.8 million
  • Trade value: 6

10. RW Wayne Simmonds (age 30) / Philadelphia Flyers

  • Games played: 55
  • Points: 24 (16 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.975 million
  • Trade value: 5.63

11. RW Jakob Silfverberg (age 27) / Anaheim Ducks

  • Games played: 47
  • Points: 20 (12 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.75 million
  • Trade value: 4.25

12. C Marcus Johansson (age 28) / New Jersey Devils

  • Games played: 43
  • Points: 22 (10 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.583334 million
  • Trade value: 4.22

13. RW Troy Brouwer (age 33) / Florida Panthers

  • Games played: 47
  • Points: 11 (7 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.85 million
  • Trade value: 3.55

14. C Riley Sheahan (age 27) / Florida Panthers

  • Games played: 54
  • Points: 12 (7 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.1 million
  • Trade value: 2.7

15. RW Drew Stafford (age 33) / New Jersey Devils

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 8 (2 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.81 million
  • Trade value: 2.39

16. LW Magnus Paajarvi-Svensson (age 27) / Ottawa Senators

  • Games played: 53
  • Points: 8 (7 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.9 million
  • Trade value: 2.3

17. C Jordan Weal (age 26) / Arizona Coyotes

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 10 (3 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.75 million
  • Trade value: 2.25

18. LW Mario Kempe (age 30) / Arizona Coyotes

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 7 (3 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7 million
  • Trade value: 2.1

19. LW Michael Raffl (age 29) / Philadelphia Flyers

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 11 (4 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.05

20. C Derek Grant (age 28) / Anaheim Ducks

  • Games played: 33
  • Points: 6 (3 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Trade value: 1.75

21. C Phil Varone (age 30) / Philadelphia Flyers

  • Games played: 25
  • Points: 5 (3 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Trade value: 1.35

22. C Derick Brassard (age 31) / Florida Panthers

  • Games played: 45
  • Points: 18 (10 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Trade value 1.2

23. C Brian Gibbons (age 30) / Anaheim Ducks

  • Games played: 43
  • Points: 5 (2 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1 million
  • Trade value: 1

24. C Micheal Haley (age 32) / Florida Panthers

  • Games played: 24
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.825 million
  • Trade value: 0.38

25. LW Carl Hagelin (age 30) / Los Angeles Kings

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 8 (2 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4 million
  • Trade value: -0.8

26. C Jori Lehtera (age 31) / Philadelphia Flyers

  • Games played: 27
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.7 million
  • Trade value: -3.5

Here is a ranking of the most valuable defensemen…

1 . D Jordan Oesterle (age 26) / Arizona Coyotes

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 18 (5 goals and 13 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Trade value: 8.35
Photo: Getty Images / Icon Sportswire

2. D Nick Jensen (age 28) / Detroit Red Wings

  • Games played: 55
  • Points: 13 (2 goals and 11 assists)
  • Base salary: $0.8125 million
  • Trade value: 5.69

3. D Niklas Kronwall (age 37) / Detroit Red Wings

  • Games played: 53
  • Points: 14 (2 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.75 million
  • Trade value: 2.25

4. D Egor Yakovlev (age 27) / New Jersey Devils

  • Games played: 14
  • Points: 5 (2 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.726058 million
  • Trade value: 1.77

5. D Kevin Gravel (age 26) / Edmonton Oilers

  • Games played: 32
  • Points: 3 (0 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7 million
  • Trade value 0.8

6. D Oscar Fantenberg (age 27) / Los Angeles Kings

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 2 (1 goal and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Trade value: 0.35

7. D Ben Lovejoy (age 34) / New Jersey Devils

  • Games played: 46
  • Points: 6 (1 goal and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.666667 million
  • Trade value: 0.33

8. D Luke Witkowski (age 28) / Detroit Red Wings

  • Games played: 18
  • Points: 2 (0 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.75 million
  • Trade value: 0.25

9. D Adam McQuaid (age 32) / New York Rangers

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 5 (2 goals and 3 assists)
  • Base salary: $2.75 million
  • Trade value: -0.25

10. D Michael Del Zotto (age 28) / Anaheim Ducks

  • Games played: 29
  • Points: 5 (1 goal and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Trade value: -0.5

11. D Alex Petrovic (age 26) / Edmonton Oilers

  • Games played: 32
  • Points: 2 (0 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.95 million
  • Trade value: -0.95

Goalies

1 . G Keith Kinkaid (age 29) / New Jersey Devils

  • Games played: 38
  • Wins: 15
  • Total cap hit: $1.25 million
  • Trade value: 8.13
Photo: AP Photo/Julio Cortez

2. G Jimmy Howard (age 34) / Detroit Red Wings

  • Games played: 37
  • Wins: 15
  • Total cap hit: $5.291667 million
  • Trade value: 4.08

3. G Anders Nilsson (age 28) / Ottawa Senators

  • Games played: 22
  • Wins: 9
  • Total cap hit: $2.5 million
  • Trade value: 3.13

4. G Calvin Pickard (age 26) / Arizona Coyotes

  • Games played: 13
  • Wins: 4
  • Total cap hit: $0.8 million
  • Trade value: 1.7

5. G Brian Elliott (age 33) / Philadelphia Flyers

  • Games played: 14
  • Wins: 6
  • Total cap hit: $2.75 million
  • Trade value: 1

6. G Ryan Miller (age 38) / Anaheim Ducks

  • Games played: 10
  • Wins: 4
  • Total cap hit: $2 million
  • Trade value: 0.5

7. G Mike McKenna (age 35) / Philadelphia Flyers

  • Games played: 11
  • Wins: 1
  • Total cap hit: $0.7 million
  • Trade value: -0.08

8. G Chad Johnson (age 32) / Anaheim Ducks

  • Games played: 19
  • Wins: 2
  • Total cap hit: $1.75 million
  • Trade value: -0.5

9. G Michal Neuvirth (age 30) / Philadelphia Flyers

  • Games played: 7
  • Wins: 1
  • Total cap hit: $2.5 million
  • Trade value: -1.88

Thanks for reading and feel free to follow me on Twitter (@MaxGold81356590) if you wish to receive updates when I release new content.

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