Contract Analysis: St. Louis Blues

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

St. Louis Blues

Forwards

RW Vladimir Tarasenko (age 26)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 24 (12 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $7.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.6 (1.6 points / $0.5 million)

C Ryan O’Reilly (age 27)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 40 (16 goals and 24 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $7.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.67

C Brayden Schenn (age 27)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 24 (9 goals and 15 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.125 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.34

C Robby Fabbri (age 22)

  • Games played: 19
  • Points: 4 (2 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.16

C Ivan Barbashev (age 22)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 11 (5 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.741666 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.70

C Oskar Sundqvist (age 24)

  • Games played: 33
  • Points: 10 (7 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.14

C Jordan Kyrou (age 20)

  • Games played: 11
  • Points: 2 (1 goal and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.758333 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.32

C Tyler Bozak (age 32)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 18 (6 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.8

C Robert Thomas (age 19)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 13 (4 goals and 9 assists)
  • Points: $0.894166 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.27

*C Jordan Nolan (age 29)

  • Games played: 11
  • Points: 2 (0 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

LW Alexander Steen (age 34)

  • Games played: 32
  • Points: 15 (6 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.30

LW Jaden Schwartz (age 26)

  • Games played: 28
  • Points: 17 (3 goals and 14 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.59

LW David Perron (age 30)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 30 (15 goals and 15 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.75

LW Patrick Maroon (age 30)

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 11 (3 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.14

*LW Samuel Blais (age 22)

  • Games played: 17
  • Points: 1 (0 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.673333 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.74

LW MacKenzie MacEachern (age 24)

  • Games played: 0
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

LW Zach Sanford (age 23)

  • Games played: 25
  • Points: 11 (5 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.875 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.39

LW Erik Foley (age 21)

  • Games played: 0
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

Defensemen

D Alex Pietrangelo (age 28)

  • Games played: 30
  • Points: 15 (5 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.15

D Colton Parayko (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 11 (8 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1

D Jay Bouwmeester (age 35)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 8 (1 goal and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.4 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.74

D Joel Edmundson (age 25)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 7 (1 goal and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.17

D Carl Gunnarsson (age 31)

  • Games played: 11
  • Points: 2 (0 goals and 2 assists)
  • Base salary: $2.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.35

D Robert Bortuzzo (age 29)

  • Games played: 23
  • Points: 5 (1 goal and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.15 million
  • Contract value factor: 3

D Vince Dunn (age 21)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 17 (3 goals and 14 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7225 million
  • Contract value factor: 11.76

Goalies

G Jake Allen (age 28)

  • Games played: 34
  • Wins: 15
  • Total cap hit: $4.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.72 (1.72 wins / $0.5 million)

G Jordan Binnington (age 25)

  • Games played: 3
  • Wins: 1
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.77

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. C Robert Thomas (age 19)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 7.27

2. C Oskar Sundqvist (age 24)

  • Games played: 33
  • Contract value factor: 7.14

3. LW Zach Sanford (age 23)

  • Games played: 25
  • Contract value factor: 6.39

4. LW David Perron (age 30)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 3.75

5. C Ryan O’Reilly (age 27)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 3.67

6. LW Patrick Maroon (age 30)

  • Games played: 34
  • Contract value factor: 3.14

7. C Ivan Barbashev (age 22)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 2.70

8. C Brayden Schenn (age 27)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 2.34

9. C Robby Fabbri (age 22)

  • Games played: 19
  • Contract value factor: 2.16

10. C Tyler Bozak (age 32)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 1.8

11. RW Vladimir Tarasenko (age 26)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 1.6

12. LW Jaden Schwartz (age 26)

  • Games played: 28
  • Contract value factor: 1.59

13. *C Jordan Nolan (age 29)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

14. C Jordan Kyrou (age 20)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 1.32

15. LW Alexander Steen (age 34)

  • Games played: 32
  • Contract value factor: 1.30

16. *LW Samuel Blais (age 22)

  • Games played: 17
  • Contract value factor: 0.74

17. LW MacKenzie MacEachern (age 24)

  • Games played: 0
  • Contract value factor: 0

18. LW Erik Foley (age 21)

  • Games played: 0
  • Contract value factor: 0

Defensemen

1. D Vince Dunn (age 21)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 11.76

2. D Robert Bortuzzo (age 29)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 3

3. D Joel Edmundson (age 25)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 1.17

4. D Alex Pietrangelo (age 28)

  • Games played: 30
  • Contract value factor: 1.15

5. D Colton Parayko (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1

6. D Jay Bouwmeester (age 35)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 0.74

7. D Carl Gunnarsson (age 31))

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 0.35

Goalies

1. G Jake Allen (age 28)

  • Games played: 34
  • Contract value factor: 1.72

2. G Jordan Binnington (age 25)

  • Games played: 3
  • Contract value factor: 0.77

Average forwards contract value factor (18): 2.69

Average defensemen contract value factor (7): 2.74

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 1.25

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(2.69 * 18) + (2.74 * 7) + (1.25 * 2)] / 27 = (48.43 + 19.17 + 2.49) / 27 = 2.60

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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