Contract Analysis: Philadelphia Flyers

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)
  • A third formula will be used to calculate the cap hit of players who are acquired from another team (for the purpose of this investigation, we will assume that the team who acquires player A will hold onto him for the rest of the season): 186 days (length of hockey season) – d days with former team; days with former team / 186 days = pp * total cap hit for 2019 = a

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

^ = a player who was acquired from another team during the season

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Philadelphia Flyers

Forwards

RW Jakub Voracek (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 32 (10 goals and 22 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $8.250063 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.94 (1.94 points / $0.5 million)

RW Wayne Simmonds (age 30)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 18 (12 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.975 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.26

C Claude Giroux (age 30)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 46 (13 goals and 33 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $8.275 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.78

C Sean Couturier (age 25)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 29 (15 goals and 14 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.333333 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.35

C Scott Laughton (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 15 (7 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.9625 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.79

C Nolan Patrick (age 20)

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 11 (5 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.95

C Travis Konecny (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 23 (10 goals and 13 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.894167 million
  • Contract value factor: 12.86

C Corban Knight (age 28)

  • Games played: 3
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

LW James Van Riemsdyk (age 29)

  • Games played: 25
  • Points: 14 (6 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $7 million
  • Contract value factor: 1

LW Michael Raffl (age 29)

  • Games played: 27
  • Points: 7 (2 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.49

Defensemen

D Andrew MacDonald (age 32)

  • Games played: 24
  • Points: 5 (0 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.5

D Shayne Gostisbehere (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 17 (5 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.89

D Radko Gudas (age 28)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 10 (2 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.49

D Ivan Provorov (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 13 (4 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.894167 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.27

D Travis Sanheim (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 13 (4 goals and 9 assists)
  • Base salary: $0.863333 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.53

D Christian Folin (age 27)

  • Games played: 19
  • Points: 1 (0 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.63

Goalies

G Anthony Stolarz (age 24)

  • Games played: 9
  • Wins: 2
  • Total cap hit: $0.76125 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.31 (1.31 wins / $0.5 million)

G Carter Hart (age 20)

  • Games played: 6
  • Wins: 2
  • Total cap hit: $0.730833 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.37

^G Mike McKenna (age 35)

  • Games played: 10
  • Wins: 1
  • Total cap hit: $0.463
  • Contract value factor: 1.08

G Brian Elliott (age 33)

  • Games played: 14
  • Wins: 6
  • Total cap hit: $2.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.09

G Michal Neuvirth (age 30)

  • Games played: 7
  • Wins: 1
  • Total cap hit: $2.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.2

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. C Travis Konecny (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 12.86

2. C Scott Laughton (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 7.79

3. C Nolan Patrick (age 20)

  • Games played: 34
  • Contract value factor: 5.95

4. C Sean Couturier (age 25)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 3.35

5. C Claude Giroux (age 30)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.78

6. RW Wayne Simmonds (age 30)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.26

7. RW Jakub Voracek (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.94

8. LW Michael Raffl (age 29)

  • Games played: 27
  • Contract value factor: 1.49

9. LW James Van Riemsdyk (age 29)

  • Games played: 25
  • Contract value factor: 1

10. C Corban Knight (age 28)

  • Games played: 3
  • Contract value factor: 0

Defensemen

1. D Travis Sanheim (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 7.53

2. D Ivan Provorov (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 7.27

3. D Shayne Gostisbehere (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.89

4. D Radko Gudas (age 28)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 1.49

5. D Christian Folin (age 27)

  • Games played: 19
  • Contract value factor: 0.63

6. D Andrew MacDonald (age 32)

  • Games played: 24
  • Contract value factor: 0.5

Goalies

1. G Carter Hart (age 20)

  • Games played: 6
  • Contract value factor: 1.37

2. G Anthony Stolarz (age 24)

  • Games played: 9
  • Contract value factor: 1.31

3. G Brian Elliott (age 33)

  • Games played: 14
  • Contract value factor: 1.09

4. ^G Mike McKenna (age 35)

  • Games played: 10
  • Contract value factor: 1.08

5. G Michal Neuvirth (age 30)

  • Games played: 7
  • Contract value factor: 0.2

Average forwards contract value factor (10): 3.94

Average defensemen contract value factor (6): 3.22

Average goalies contract value factor (5): 1.01

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(3.94 * 10) + (3.22 * 6) + (1.01 * 5)] / 21 = (39.42 + 19.31 + 5.05) / 21 = 3.04

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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