Contract Analysis: New York Rangers

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)
  • A third formula will be used to calculate the cap hit of players who are acquired from another team (for the purpose of this investigation, we will assume that the team who acquires player A will hold onto him for the rest of the season): 186 days (length of hockey season) – d days with former team; days with former team / 186 days = pp * total cap hit for 2019 = a

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

^ = a player who was acquired from another team during the season

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

New York Rangers

Forwards

RW Mats Zuccarello (age 31)

  • Games played: 28
  • Points: 14 (4 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.56 (1.56 points / $0.5 million)

RW Jesper Fast (age 26)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 14 (5 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.78

RW Chris Kreider (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 31 (20 goals and 11 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.625 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.33

C Mika Zibanejad (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 34 (11 goals and 23 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.18

C Kevin Hayes (age 26)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 33 (10 goals and 23 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.175 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.19

C Vladislav Namestnikov (age 25)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 15 (4 goals and 11 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.88

^C Ryan Strome (age 25)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 11 (6 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.34

C Brett Howden (age 20)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 14 (4 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.863333 million
  • Contract value factor: 8.11

C Boo Nieves (age 24)

  • Games played: 9
  • Points: 2 (2 goals and 0 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.70875 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.41

LW Jimmy Vesey (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 13 (5 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.275 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.53

LW Pavel Buchnevich (age 23)

  • Games played: 25
  • Points: 12 (7 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.49

LW Filip Chytil (age 19)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 13 (6 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.03

LW Cody McLeod (age 34)

  • Games played: 21
  • Points: 1 (1 goal and 0 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.67

Defensemen

D Kevin Shattenkirk (age 29)

  • Games played: 33
  • Points: 10 (1 goal and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.75

D Marc Staal (age 31)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 10 (3 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.7 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.88

D Brady Skjei (age 24)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 13 (3 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.24

D Brendan Smith (age 29)

  • Games played: 30
  • Points: 7 (2 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.80

D Adam McQuaid (age 31)

  • Games played: 18
  • Points: 3 (0 goals and 3 assists)
  • Base salary: $2.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.55

D Neal Pionk (age 23)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 19 (5 goals and 14 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 10.27

D Anthony DeAngelo (age 22)

  • Games played: 25
  • Points: 9 (2 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.863333 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.21

D Fredrik Claesson (age 25)

  • Games played: 24
  • Points: 4 (2 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.86

Goalies

G Henrik Lundqvist (age 36)

  • Games played: 32
  • Wins: 12
  • Total cap hit: $8.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.71 (0.71 wins / $0.5 million)

G Alexander Georgiev (age 22)

  • Games played: 13
  • Wins: 5
  • Total cap hit: $0.7925 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.15

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. C Brett Howden (age 20)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 8.11

2. LW Filip Chytil (age 19)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 7.03

3. LW Pavel Buchnevich (age 23)

  • Games played: 25
  • Contract value factor: 6.49

4. RW Jesper Fast (age 26)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 3.78

5. RW Chris Kreider (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.33

6. C Kevin Hayes (age 26)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 3.19

7. C Mika Zibanejad (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.18

8. ^C Ryan Strome (age 25)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 2.34

9. C Vladislav Namestnikov (age 25)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 1.88

10. RW Mats Zuccarello (age 31)

  • Games played: 28
  • Contract value factor: 1.56

11. LW Jimmy Vesey (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.53

12. C Boo Nieves (age 24)

  • Games played: 9
  • Contract value factor: 1.41

13. LW Cody McLeod (age 34)

  • Games played: 21
  • Contract value factor: 0.67

Defensemen

1. D Neal Pionk (age 23)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 10.27

2. D Anthony DeAngelo (age 22)

  • Games played: 25
  • Contract value factor: 5.21

3. D Fredrik Claesson (age 25)

  • Games played: 24
  • Contract value factor: 2.86

4. D Brady Skjei (age 24)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 1.24

5. D Marc Staal (age 31)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 0.88

6. D Brendan Smith (age 29)

  • Games played: 30
  • Contract value factor: 0.80

7. D Kevin Shattenkirk (age 29)

  • Games played: 33
  • Contract value factor: 0.75

8. D Adam McQuaid (age 31)

  • Games played: 18
  • Contract value factor: 0.55

Goalies

1. G Alexander Georgiev (age 22)

  • Games played: 13
  • Contract value factor: 3.15

2. G Henrik Lundqvist (age 36)

  • Games played: 32
  • Contract value factor: 0.71

Average forwards contract value factor (13): 3.42

Average defensemen contract value factor (8): 2.82

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 1.93

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(3.42 * 13) + (2.82 * 8) + (1.93 * 2)] / 23 = (44.5 + 22.56 + 3.86) / 23 = 3.08

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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