Contract Analysis: New Jersey Devils

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

New Jersey Devils

Forwards

RW Kyle Palmieri (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 36 (20 goals and 16 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.87 (3.87 points / $0.5 million)

RW Drew Stafford (age 32)

  • Games played: 17
  • Points: 5 (2 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.81 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.09 

*RW Kurtis Gabriel (age 25)

  • Games played: 1
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

RW Stefan Noesen (age 25)

  • Games played: 26
  • Points: 7 (2 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.725 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.03

RW Joseph Anderson (age 24)

  • Games played: 11
  • Points: 2 (1 goal and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.08

C Travis Zajac (age 33)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 27 (11 goals and 16 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.35

C Marcus Johansson (age 27)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 15 (6 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.583334 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.64

C Brian Boyle (age 33)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 16 (11 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.91

C Blake Coleman (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 20 (12 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.56

C Nico Hischier (age 19)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 29 (12 goals and 17 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 15.68

C Pavel Zacha (age 21)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 9 (7 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.894167 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.03

LW Jesper Bratt (age 20)

  • Games played: 27
  • Points: 16 (3 goals and 13 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.749167 million
  • Contract value factor: 10.71

LW Brett Seney (age 31)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 12 (3 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7575 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.92

LW Taylor Hall (age 26)

  • Games played: 33
  • Points: 37 (11 goals and 26 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.08

LW Miles Wood (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 12 (4 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.18

Defensemen

D Andy Greene (age 35)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 12 (2 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.2

D Sami Vatanen (age 27)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 15 (3 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.875 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

D Damon Severson (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 9 (1 goal and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.166666 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.08

D Ben Lovejoy (age 34)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 5 (1 goal and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.666667 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.94

D Steven Santini (age 23)

  • Games played: 10
  • Points: 1 (0 goals and 1 assist)
  • Base salary: $1.416666 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.16

D Will Butcher (age 23)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 14 (2 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.57

D Mirco Mueller (age 23)

  • Games played: 26
  • Points: 5 (0 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.94

Goalies

G Cory Schneider (age 32)

  • Games played: 9
  • Wins: 0
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Contract value factor: 0 (0 wins / $0.5 million)

G Keith Kinkaid (age 29)

  • Games played: 31
  • Wins: 13
  • Total cap hit: $1.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.2

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. C Nico Hischier (age 19)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 15.68

2. LW Jesper Bratt (age 20)

  • Games played: 27
  • Contract value factor: 10.71

3. LW Brett Seney (age 31)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 7.92

4. C Blake Coleman (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 5.56

5. C Pavel Zacha (age 21)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 5.03

6. RW Kyle Palmieri (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.87

7. RW Drew Stafford (age 32)

  • Games played: 17
  • Contract value factor: 3.09 

8. LW Taylor Hall (age 26)

  • Games played: 33
  • Contract value factor: 3.08

9. C Brian Boyle (age 33)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 2.91

10. C Travis Zajac (age 33)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 2.35

11. LW Miles Wood (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.18

12. RW Stefan Noesen (age 25)

  • Games played: 26
  • Contract value factor: 2.03

13. C Marcus Johansson (age 27)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 1.64

14. RW Joseph Anderson (age 24)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 1.08

15. *RW Kurtis Gabriel (age 25)

  • Games played: 1
  • Contract value factor: 0

Defensemen

1. D Will Butcher (age 23)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 7.57

2. D Mirco Mueller (age 23)

  • Games played: 26
  • Contract value factor: 2.94

3. D Sami Vatanen (age 27)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

4. D Andy Greene (age 35)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.2

5. D Steven Santini (age 23)

  • Games played: 10
  • Contract value factor: 1.16

6. D Damon Severson (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.08

7. D Ben Lovejoy (age 34)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 0.94

Goalies

1. G Keith Kinkaid (age 29)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 5.2

2. G Cory Schneider (age 32)

  • Games played: 9
  • Contract value factor: 0

Average forwards contract value factor (15): 4.48

Average defensemen contract value factor (7): 2.35

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 2.6

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(4.48 * 15) + (2.35 * 7) + (2.6 * 2)] / 24 = (67.13 + 16.43 + 5.2) / 24 = 3.70

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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