Contract Analysis: Montreal Canadiens

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

& = a player who has retired mid-season

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Montreal Canadiens

Forwards

RW Brendan Gallagher (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 24 (15 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.2 (3.2 points / $0.5 million)

RW Joel Armia (age 26)

  • Games played: 16
  • Points: 8 (3 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.16

C Phillip Danault (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 27 (7 goals and 20 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.083333 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.38

C Paul Byron (age 29)

  • Games played: 27
  • Points: 15 (9 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.166668 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.43

C Jesperi Kotkaniemi (age 18)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 19 (4 goals and 15 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 10.27

C Michael Chaput (age 26)

  • Games played: 20
  • Points: 4 (0 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.675 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.96

C Matthew Peca (age 25)

  • Games played: 26
  • Points: 10 (3 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.85

C Andrew Shaw (age 27)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 24 (11 goals and 13 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.08

&C Thomas Plekanec (age 35)

  • Games played: 3
  • Points: 1 (1 goals and 0 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.22

LW Jonathan Drouin (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 33 (12 goals and 21 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 3

LW Tomas Tatar (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 31 (14 goals and 17 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.92

LW Max Domi (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 38 (14 goals and 24 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $3.15 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.03

LW Nicolas Deslauriers (age 27)

  • Games played: 28
  • Points: 3 (2 goals and 1 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.95 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.58

LW Artturi Lehkonen (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 21 (7 goals and 14 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.839166 million
  • Contract value factor: 12.51

LW Charles Hudon (age 24)

  • Games played: 23
  • Points: 4 (3 goals and 1 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.08

LW Kenneth Agostino (age 26)

  • Games played: 26
  • Points: 11 (2 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.86

Defensemen

D Shea Weber (age 33)

  • Games played: 17
  • Points: 11 (5 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $7.857143 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.70

D Jeff Petry (age 30)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 29 (8 goals and 21 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.64

D Karl Alzner (age 30)

  • Games played: 8
  • Points: 1 (0 goals and 1 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.625 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.11

D Jordie Benn (age 31)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 9 (3 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.1 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.09

D Brett Kulak (age 24)

  • Games played: 17
  • Points: 4 (1 goal and 3 assists)
  • Base salary: $0.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.22

D Mike Reilly (age 25)

  • Games played: 35
  • Points: 6 (2 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.725 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.14

D Victor Mete (age 20)

  • Games played: 30
  • Points: 6 (0 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.748333 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.01

Goalies

G Carey Price (age 31)

  • Games played: 31
  • Wins: 16
  • Total cap hit: $10.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.76 (0.76 wins / $0.5 million)

G Antti Niemi (age 35)

  • Games played: 11
  • Wins: 6
  • Total cap hit: $0.95 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.16

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. LW Artturi Lehkonen (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 12.51

2. C Jesperi Kotkaniemi (age 18)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 10.27

3. LW Kenneth Agostino (age 26)

  • Games played: 26
  • Contract value factor: 7.86

4. C Paul Byron (age 29)

  • Games played: 27
  • Contract value factor: 6.43

5. LW Max Domi (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 6.03

6. C Phillip Danault (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 4.38

7. C Matthew Peca (age 25)

  • Games played: 26
  • Contract value factor: 3.85

8. RW Brendan Gallagher (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.2

9. C Andrew Shaw (age 27)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 3.08

10. LW Charles Hudon (age 24)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 3.08

11. LW Jonathan Drouin (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3

12. C Michael Chaput (age 26)

  • Games played: 20
  • Contract value factor: 2.96

13. LW Tomas Tatar (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.92

14. RW Joel Armia (age 26)

  • Games played: 16
  • Contract value factor: 2.16

15. LW Nicolas Deslauriers (age 27)

  • Games played: 28
  • Contract value factor: 1.58

16. &C Thomas Plekanec (age 35)

  • Games played: 3
  • Contract value factor: 0.22

Defensemen

1. D Mike Reilly (age 25)

  • Games played: 35
  • Contract value factor: 4.14

2. D Jordie Benn (age 31)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 4.09

3. D Victor Mete (age 20)

  • Games played: 30
  • Contract value factor: 4.01

4. D Jeff Petry (age 30)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.64

5. D Brett Kulak (age 24)

  • Games played: 17
  • Contract value factor: 2.22

6. D Shea Weber (age 33)

  • Games played: 17
  • Contract value factor: 0.70

7. D Karl Alzner (age 30)

  • Games played: 8
  • Contract value factor: 0.11

Goalies

1. G Antti Niemi (age 35)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 3.16

2. G Carey Price (age 31)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 0.76

Average forwards contract value factor (16): 4.60

Average defensemen contract value factor (7): 1.99

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 1.96

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(7.83 * 16) + (3.03 * 7) + (4.41 * 2)] / 25 = (73.53 + 13.91 + 3.92) / 25 = 3.65

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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