Contract Analysis: Florida Panthers

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Florida Panthers

Forwards

RW Troy Brouwer (age 33)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 10 (7 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.88 (5.88 points / $0.5 million)

C Aleksander Barkov (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 43 (17 goals and 26 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.64

C Vincent Trocheck (age 25)

  • Games played: 18
  • Points: 14 (3 goals and 11 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.47

C Nick Bjugstad (age 26)

  • Games played: 27
  • Points: 10 (4 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.1 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.22

C Colton Sceviour (age 29)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 9 (3 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.2 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.75

C Micheal Haley (age 32)

  • Games played: 18
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.825 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.82

C Denis Malgin (age 21)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 9 (4 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.69 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.52

C Henrik Borgstrom (age 21)

  • Games played: 11
  • Points: 4 (3 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.16

C Derek MacKenzie (age 37)

  • Games played: 1
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $1.375 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

LW Jonathan Huberdeau (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 46 (11 goals and 35 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.90

LW Mike Hoffman (age 28)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 38 (20 goals and 18 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.1875 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.66

LW Evgenii Dadonov (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 36 (17 goals and 19 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.5

LW Jared McCann (age 22)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 17 (7 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.8

LW Frank Vatrano (age 24)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 17 (11 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 9.19

@LW Jamie McGinn (age 30)

  • Games played: 0
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $3.333334 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

Defensemen

D Aaron Ekblad (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 17 (8 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $7.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.13

D Keith Yandle (age 32)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 35 (6 goals and 29 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.76

D Michael Matheson (age 24)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 15 (2 goals and 13 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.875 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

D Mark Pysyk (age 26)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 5 (0 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.733333 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.91

D Bogdan Kiselevich (age 28)

  • Games played: 28
  • Points: 6 (0 goals and 6 assists)
  • Base salary: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.24

D MacKenzie Weegar (age 24)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 7 (1 goal and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.89

Goalies

G Roberto Luongo (age 39)

  • Games played: 22
  • Wins: 8
  • Total cap hit: $4.533333 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.88 (0.88 wins / $0.5 million)

G James Reimer (age 30)

  • Games played: 24
  • Wins: 8
  • Total cap hit: $3.4 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.18

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. LW Frank Vatrano (age 24)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 9.19

2. LW Jared McCann (age 22)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 6.8

3. C Denis Malgin (age 21)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 6.52

4. RW Troy Brouwer (age 33)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 5.88

5. LW Evgenii Dadonov (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 4.5

6. LW Jonathan Huberdeau (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.90

7. C Colton Sceviour (age 29)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 3.75

8. LW Mike Hoffman (age 28)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.66

9. C Aleksander Barkov (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.64

10. C Henrik Borgstrom (age 21)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 2.16

11. C Micheal Haley (age 32)

  • Games played: 18
  • Contract value factor: 1.82

12. C Vincent Trocheck (age 25)

  • Games played: 18
  • Contract value factor: 1.47

13. C Nick Bjugstad (age 26)

  • Games played: 27
  • Contract value factor: 1.22

14. C Derek MacKenzie (age 37)

  • Games played: 1
  • Contract value factor: 0

15. @LW Jamie McGinn (age 30)

  • Games played: 0
  • Contract value factor: 0

Defensemen

1. D MacKenzie Weegar (age 24)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 3.89

2. D Bogdan Kiselevich (age 28)

  • Games played: 28
  • Contract value factor: 3.24

3. D Keith Yandle (age 32)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.76

4. D Michael Matheson (age 24)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

5. D Aaron Ekblad (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.13

6. D Mark Pysyk (age 26)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 0.91

Goalies

1. G James Reimer (age 30)

  • Games played: 24
  • Contract value factor: 1.18

2. G Roberto Luongo (age 39)

  • Games played: 22
  • Contract value factor: 0.88

Average forwards contract value factor (15): 3.63

Average defensemen contract value factor (6): 2.25

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 1.03

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(3.63 * 15) + (2.25 * 6) + (1.03 * 2)] / 23 = (54.51 + 13.47 + 2.06) / 23 = 3.05

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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