Contract Analysis: Dallas Stars

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)
  • A third formula will be used to calculate the cap hit of players who are acquired from another team (for the purpose of this investigation, we will assume that the team who acquires player A will hold onto him for the rest of the season): 186 days (length of hockey season) – d days with former team; days with former team / 186 days = pp * total cap hit for 2019 = a

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

^ = a player who was acquired from another team during the season

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Dallas Stars

Forwards

RW Alexander Radulov (age 32)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 34 (13 goals and 21 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.72 (2.72 points / $0.5 million)

RW Valeri Nichushkin (age 23)

  • Games played: 32
  • Points: 7 (0 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.95 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.19

RW Brett Ritchie (age 25)

  • Games played: 22
  • Points: 4 (2 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.14

*RW Denis Gurianov (age 21)

  • Games played: 11
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.62

RW Tyler Pitlick (age 26)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 10 (6 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1 million
  • Contract value factor: 5

C Jason Spezza (age 35)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 21 (6 goals and 15 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $7.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.4

C Tyler Seguin (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 36 (13 goals and 23 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.13

C Mattias Janmark (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 14 (3 goals and 11 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.04

C Radek Faksa (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 15 (7 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.2 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.41

C Jason Dickinson (age 24)

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 11 (5 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.875 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.29

C Martin Hanzal (age 31)

  • Games played: 7
  • Points: 2 (1 goal and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $4.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.21

LW Jamie Benn (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 32 (17 goals and 15 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $9.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.68

LW Blake Comeau (age 32)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 7 (4 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.4 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.46

LW Roope Hintz (age 21)

  • Games played: 17
  • Points: 4 (2 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.811667 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.46

Defensemen

D John Klingberg (age 26)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 17 (5 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 2

D Esa Lindell (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 17 (6 goals and 11 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.2 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.86

D Roman Polak (age 32)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.15

D Connor Carrick (age 24)

  • Games played: 10
  • Points: 4 (1 goal and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

D Miro Heiskanen (age 19)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 19 (9 goals and 10 assists)
  • Base salary: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 10.27

D Julius Honka (age 22)

  • Games played: 24
  • Points: 4 (0 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.863333 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.32

D Marc Methot (age 33)

  • Games played: 9
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $4.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

^D Taylor Fedun (age 30)

  • Games played: 18
  • Points: 6 (2 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.51 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.88

@D Stephen Johns (age 26)

  • Games played: 0
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $2.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

Goalies

G Ben Bishop (age 31)

  • Games played: 26
  • Wins: 14
  • Total cap hit: $4.916667 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.42 (1.42 wins / $0.5 million)

G Anton Khudobin (age 32)

  • Games played: 18
  • Wins: 7
  • Total cap hit: $2.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.4

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. C Jason Dickinson (age 24)

  • Games played: 34
  • Contract value factor: 6.29

2. RW Tyler Pitlick (age 26)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 5

3. C Radek Faksa (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.41

4. C Tyler Seguin (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.13

5. C Mattias Janmark (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.04

6. RW Alexander Radulov (age 32)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 2.72

7. LW Roope Hintz (age 21)

  • Games played: 17
  • Contract value factor: 2.46

8. LW Jamie Benn (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.68

9. *RW Denis Gurianov (age 21)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 1.62

10. LW Blake Comeau (age 32)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 1.46

11. C Jason Spezza (age 35)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 1.4

12. RW Valeri Nichushkin (age 23)

  • Games played: 32
  • Contract value factor: 1.19

13. RW Brett Ritchie (age 25)

  • Games played: 22
  • Contract value factor: 1.14

14. C Martin Hanzal (age 31)

  • Games played: 7
  • Contract value factor: 0.21

Defensemen

1. D Miro Heiskanen (age 19)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 10.27

2. ^D Taylor Fedun (age 30)

  • Games played: 18
  • Contract value factor: 5.88

3. D Esa Lindell (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.86

4. D Julius Honka (age 22)

  • Games played: 24
  • Contract value factor: 2.32

5. D John Klingberg (age 26)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 2

6. D Connor Carrick (age 24)

  • Games played: 10
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

7. D Roman Polak (age 32)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 1.15

8. D Marc Methot (age 33)

  • Games played: 9
  • Contract value factor: 0

9. @D Stephen Johns (age 26)

  • Games played: 0
  • Contract value factor: 0

Goalies

1. G Ben Bishop (age 31)

  • Games played: 26
  • Contract value factor: 1.42

2. G Anton Khudobin (age 32)

  • Games played: 18
  • Contract value factor: 1.4

Average forwards contract value factor (14): 2.48

Average defensemen contract value factor (9): 3.00

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 1.41

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(2.48 * 14) + (3.00 * 9) + (1.41 * 2)] / 25 = (34.75 + 27.02 + 2.82) / 25 = 2.58

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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