Contract Analysis: Columbus Blue Jackets

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Columbus Blue Jackets

Forwards

RW Cameron Atkinson (age 29)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 42 (24 goals and 18 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.875 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.57 (3.57 points / $0.5 million)

RW Oliver Bjorkstrand (age 23)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 12 (6 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.4

RW Josh Anderson (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 19 (15 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.14

C Brandon Dubinsky (age 32)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 10 (4 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.85

C Alexander Wennberg (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 19 (1 goal and 18 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.94

C Boone Jenner (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 18 (6 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.4

C Riley Nash (age 29)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 4 (1 goal and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.73

C Lukas Sedlak (age 25)

  • Games played: 27
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.825 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.82

LW Artemi Panarin (age 26)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 45 (18 goals and 33 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.75

LW Nick Foligno (age 30)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 20 (10 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.82

LW Pierre-Luc Dubois (age 20)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 42 (17 goals and 25 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.894167 million
  • Contract value factor: 23.49

LW Anthony Duclair (age 23)

  • Games played: 35
  • Points: 14 (9 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 10.77

LW Markus Hannikainen (age 25)

  • Games played: 33
  • Points: 7 (4 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.675 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.19

Defensemen

D Seth Jones (age 23)

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 25 (5 goals and 20 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.4 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.31

D David Savard (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 9 (2 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.06

D Ryan Murray (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 19 (1 goal and 18 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.825 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.36

D Markus Nutivaara (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 13 (4 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.7 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.41

D Zachary Werenski (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 23 (9 goals and 14 assists)
  • Base salary: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 12.43

D Dean Kukan (age 25)

  • Games played: 7
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $0.725 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

D Scott Harrington (age 25)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 11 (1 goal and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.675 million
  • Contract value factor: 8.15

Goalies

G Sergei Bobrovsky (age 30)

  • Games played: 31
  • Wins: 18
  • Total cap hit: $7.425 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.21 (1.21 wins / $0.5 million)

G Joonas Korpisalo (age 24)

  • Games played: 14
  • Wins: 6
  • Total cap hit: $0.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.33

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. LW Pierre-Luc Dubois (age 20)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 23.49

2. LW Anthony Duclair (age 23)

  • Games played: 35
  • Contract value factor: 10.77

3. LW Markus Hannikainen (age 25)

  • Games played: 33
  • Contract value factor: 5.19

4. RW Josh Anderson (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 5.14

5. LW Artemi Panarin (age 26)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 3.75

6. RW Cameron Atkinson (age 29)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 3.57

7. RW Oliver Bjorkstrand (age 23)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 2.4

7. C Boone Jenner (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.4

9. C Alexander Wennberg (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.94

10. C Lukas Sedlak (age 25)

  • Games played: 27
  • Contract value factor: 1.82

10. LW Nick Foligno (age 30)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 1.82

12. C Brandon Dubinsky (age 32)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 0.85

13. C Riley Nash (age 29)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 0.73

Defensemen

1. D Zachary Werenski (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 12.43

2. D Scott Harrington (age 25)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 8.15

3. D Ryan Murray (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.36

4. D Markus Nutivaara (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.41

5. D Seth Jones (age 23)

  • Games played: 34
  • Contract value factor: 2.31

6. D David Savard (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.06

7. D Dean Kukan (age 25)

  • Games played: 7
  • Contract value factor: 0

Goalies

1. G Joonas Korpisalo (age 24)

  • Games played: 14
  • Contract value factor: 3.33

2. G Sergei Bobrovsky (age 30)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 1.21

Average forwards contract value factor (13): 4.91

Average defensemen contract value factor (7): 4.25

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 2.27

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(4.91 * 13) + (4.25 * 7) + (2.27 * 2)] / 22 = (63.87 + 29.72 + 4.54) / 22 = 4.46

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.


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