Contract Analysis: Carolina Hurricanes

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)
  • A third formula will be used to calculate the cap hit of players who are acquired from another team (for the purpose of this investigation, we will assume that the team who acquires player A will hold onto him for the rest of the season): 186 days (length of hockey season) – d days with former team; days with former team / 186 days = pp * total cap hit for 2019 = a

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

^ = a player who was acquired from another team during the season

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Carolina Hurricanes

Forwards

RW Justin Williams (age 36)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 23 (9 goals and 14 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.56 (2.56 points / $0.5 million)

RW Andrei Svechnikov (age 18)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 19 (11 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 10.27

RW Saku Maenalanen (age 24)

  • Games played: 4
  • Points: 1 (0 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.54

C Teuvo Teravainen (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 34 (10 goals and 24 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.86 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.94

C Lucas Wallmark (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 13 (3 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.675 million
  • Contract value factor: 9.63

C Greg McKegg (age 26)

  • Games played: 2
  • Points: 2 (1 goal and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0..715 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.40

C Jordan Staal (age 30)

  • Games played: 29
  • Points: 11 (5 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.92

LW Jordan Martinook (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 12 (9 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.33

LW Micheal Ferland (age 26)

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 19 (12 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.43

LW Sebastian Aho (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 45 (16 goals and 29 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 24.32

LW Brock McGinn (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 11 (3 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.8875 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.20

LW Warren Foegele (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 7 (5 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.746667 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.69

Defensemen

D Dougie Hamilton (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 14 (6 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.22

D Jaccob Slavin (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 15 (4 goals and 11 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.42

D Justin Faulk (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 15 (3 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.833333 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.55

D Calvin de Haan (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 10 (1 goal and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.55 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.10

D Brett Pesce (age 23)

  • Games played: 32
  • Points: 9 (3 goals and 6 assists)
  • Base salary: $4.025 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.12

D Trevor Van Riemsdyk (age 27)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 6 (2 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.30

D Haydn Fleury (age 22)

  • Games played: 10
  • Points: 1 (0 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.863333 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.58

Goalies

G Petr Mrazek (age 26)

  • Games played: 18
  • Wins: 8
  • Total cap hit: $1.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.67 (2.67 wins / $0.5 million)

G Curtis McElhinney (age 35)

  • Games played: 15
  • Wins: 9
  • Total cap hit: $0.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.29

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. LW Sebastian Aho (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 24.32

2. RW Andrei Svechnikov (age 18)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 10.27

3. C Lucas Wallmark (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 9.63

4. LW Brock McGinn (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 6.20

5. C Teuvo Teravainen (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 5.94

6. LW Micheal Ferland (age 26)

  • Games played: 34
  • Contract value factor: 5.43

7. LW Warren Foegele (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 4.69

8. LW Jordan Martinook (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.33

9. RW Justin Williams (age 36)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.56

10. C Greg McKegg (age 26)

  • Games played: 2
  • Contract value factor: 1.40

11. C Jordan Staal (age 30)

  • Games played: 29
  • Contract value factor: 0.92

12. RW Saku Maenalanen (age 24)

  • Games played: 4
  • Contract value factor: 0.54

Defensemen

1. D Justin Faulk (age 26)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.55

2. D Jaccob Slavin (age 24)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.42

3. D Trevor Van Riemsdyk (age 27)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 1.30

4. D Dougie Hamilton (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.22

5. D Brett Pesce (age 23)

  • Games played: 32
  • Contract value factor: 1.12

6. D Calvin de Haan (age 27)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.10

7. D Haydn Fleury (age 22)

  • Games played: 10
  • Contract value factor: 0.58

Goalies

1. G Curtis McElhinney (age 35)

  • Games played: 15
  • Contract value factor: 5.29

2. G Petr Mrazek (age 26)

  • Games played: 18
  • Contract value factor: 2.67

Average forwards contract value factor (12): 6.27

Average defensemen contract value factor (7): 1.18

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 3.98

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(6.27 * 12) + (1.18 * 7) + (3.98 * 2)] / 21 = (75.23 + 8.29 + 7.96) / 21 = 4.36

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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