Contract Analysis: Boston Bruins

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Boston Bruins

Forwards

RW David Pastrnak (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 52 (25 goals and 27 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.666666 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.90 (3.90 points / $0.5 million)

RW Peter Cehlarik (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 69 (20 goals and 49 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7425 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.24 

C Danton Heinen (age 23)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 10 (4 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.8725 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.73

C David Krejci (age 32)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 33 (7 goals and 26 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $7.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.28

C Patrice Bergeron (age 33)

  • Games played: 25
  • Points: 35 (13 goals and 22 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.875 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.55

C David Backes (age 34)

  • Games played: 33
  • Points: 10 (3 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.83

C Sean Kuraly (age 25)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 10 (4 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.275 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.92

C Chris Wagner (age 27)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 7 (4 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 3

C Ryan Donato (age 22)

  • Games played: 27
  • Points: 8 (5 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.44

C Jakob Karlsson (age 21)

  • Games played: 20
  • Points: 6 (3 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.916667 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.27

C Noel Acciari (age 27)

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 2 (1 goal and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.725 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.38

LW Brad Marchand (age 30)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 44 (15 goals and 29 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.125 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.59

LW Jake DeBrusk (age 21)

  • Games played: 32
  • Points: 16 (13 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.863333 million
  • Contract value factor: 9.27

LW Joakim Nordstrom (age 26)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 7 (5 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.5

Defensemen

D Torey Krug (age 27)

  • Games played: 30
  • Points: 26 (4 goals and 22 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.48

D Zdeno Chara (age 41)

  • Games played: 22
  • Points: 4 (3 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.4

D John Moore (age 27)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 7 (2 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.27

D Kevan Miller (age 30)

  • Games played: 15
  • Points: 3 (0 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.6

D Matthew Grzelcyk (age 24)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 12 (1 goals and 11 assists)
  • Base salary: $1.4 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.29

D Charles McAvoy (age 20)

  • Games played: 17
  • Points: 11 (1 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.916667 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.00

D Brandon Carlo (age 21)

  • Games played: 32
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.789166 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.99

D Steven Kampfer (age 30)

  • Games played: 25
  • Points: 3 (2 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.31

Goalies

G Tuukka Rask (age 31)

  • Games played: 20
  • Wins: 10
  • Total cap hit: $7 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.71 (0.71 wins / $0.5 million)

G Jaroslav Halak (age 33)

  • Games played: 23
  • Wins: 13
  • Total cap hit: $2.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.36

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. LW Jake DeBrusk (age 21)

  • Games played: 32
  • Contract value factor: 9.27

2. RW Peter Cehlarik (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 7.24 

3. C Danton Heinen (age 23)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 5.73

4. C Ryan Donato (age 22)

  • Games played: 27
  • Contract value factor: 4.44

5. C Sean Kuraly (age 25)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 3.92

6. RW David Pastrnak (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.90

7. LW Brad Marchand (age 30)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 3.59

8. LW Joakim Nordstrom (age 26)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 3.5

9. C Jakob Karlsson (age 21)

  • Games played: 20
  • Contract value factor: 3.27

10. C Chris Wagner (age 27)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 3

11. C Patrice Bergeron (age 33)

  • Games played: 25
  • Contract value factor: 2.55

12. C David Krejci (age 32)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.28

13. C Noel Acciari (age 27)

  • Games played: 34
  • Contract value factor: 1.38

14. C David Backes (age 34)

  • Games played: 33
  • Contract value factor: 0.83

Defensemen

1. D Charles McAvoy (age 20)

  • Games played: 17
  • Contract value factor: 6

2. D Brandon Carlo (age 21)

  • Games played: 32
  • Contract value factor: 4.99

3. D Matthew Grzelcyk (age 24)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 4.29

4. D Torey Krug (age 27)

  • Games played: 30
  • Contract value factor: 2.48

5. D Steven Kampfer (age 30)

  • Games played: 25
  • Contract value factor: 2.31

6. D John Moore (age 27)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 1.27

7. D Kevan Miller (age 30)

  • Games played: 15
  • Contract value factor: 0.6

8. D Zdeno Chara (age 41)

  • Games played: 22
  • Contract value factor: 0.4

Goalies

1. G Jaroslav Halak (age 33)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 2.36

2. G Tuukka Rask (age 31)

  • Games played: 20
  • Contract value factor: 0.71

Average forwards contract value factor (14): 3.92

Average defensemen contract value factor (8): 3.03

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 1.54

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(3.92 * 14) + (2.79 * 8) + (1.54 * 2)] / 24 = (54.9 + 22.34 + 3.07) / 24 = 3.35

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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