Contract Analysis: Anaheim Ducks

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)
  • A third formula will be used to calculate the cap hit of players who are acquired from another team (for the purpose of this investigation, we will assume that the team who acquires player A will hold onto him for the rest of the season): 186 days (length of hockey season) – d days with former team; days with former team / 186 days = pp * total cap hit for 2019 = a

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

^ = a player who was acquired from another team during the season

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Anaheim Ducks

Forwards

@RW Corey Perry (age 33)

  • Games played: 0
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $8.625 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

RW Jakob Silfverberg (age 27)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 17 (10 goal and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.27

^RW Daniel Sprong (age 21)

  • Games played: 12
  • Points: 5 (4 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.58 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.31

*RW Adam Cracknell (age 33)

  • Games played: 0
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $0.48 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

RW Patrick Eaves (age 34)

  • Games played: 5
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $3.15 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

RW Ondrej Kase (age 22)

  • Games played: 23
  • Points: 19 (11 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.6 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.65

C Ryan Getzlaf (age 33)

  • Games played: 35
  • Points: 29 (9 goals and 20 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $8.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.76

C Adam Henrique (age 28)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 22 (8 goals and 14 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.75

C Rickard Rakell (age 25)

  • Games played: 30
  • Points: 20 (5 goals and 15 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.789444 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.64

C Carter Rowney (age 29)

  • Games played: 21
  • Points: 8 (2 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.133333 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.53

C Brian Gibbons (age 30)

  • Games played: 30
  • Points: 2 (0 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1 million
  • Contract value factor: 1

C Ryan Kesler (age 34)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 6 (4 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.875 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.44

@C Kevin Roy (age 25)

  • Games played: 0
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $0.874125 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

LW Nick Ritchie (age 22)

  • Games played: 26
  • Points: 17 (5 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.64 million
  • Contract value factor: 5.18

Defensemen

D Cam Fowler (age 26)

  • Games played: 19
  • Points: 10 (3 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.77

D Hampus Lindholm (age 24)

  • Games played: 35
  • Points: 16 (4 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.52

D Josh Manson (age 26)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 10 (3 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.1 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.22

D Brandon Montour (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 20 (5 goals and 15 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.3875 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.95

Goalies

G John Gibson (age 25)

  • Games played: 34
  • Wins: 15
  • Total cap hit: $2.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.26 (3.26 wins / $0.5 million)

^G Chad Johnson (age 32)

  • Games played: 2
  • Wins: 0
  • Total cap hit: $1.28 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

G Ryan Miller (age 38)

  • Games played: 10
  • Wins: 4
  • Total cap hit: $2 million
  • Contract value factor: 1

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. LW Nick Ritchie (age 22)

  • Games played: 26
  • Contract value factor: 5.18

2. ^RW Daniel Sprong (age 21)

  • Games played: 12
  • Contract value factor: 4.31

3. RW Ondrej Kase (age 22)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 3.65

4. C Carter Rowney (age 29)

  • Games played: 21
  • Contract value factor: 3.53

5. C Adam Henrique (age 28)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.75

6. C Rickard Rakell (age 25)

  • Games played: 30
  • Contract value factor: 2.64

7. RW Jakob Silfverberg (age 27)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 2.27

8. C Ryan Getzlaf (age 33)

  • Games played: 35
  • Contract value factor: 1.76

9. C Brian Gibbons (age 30)

  • Games played: 30
  • Contract value factor: 1

10. C Ryan Kesler (age 34)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 0.44

11. @C Kevin Roy (age 25)

  • Games played: 0
  • Contract value factor: 0

11. @RW Corey Perry (age 33)

  • Games played: 0
  • Contract value factor: 0

11. *RW Adam Cracknell (age 33)

  • Games played: 0
  • Contract value factor: 0

11. RW Patrick Eaves (age 34)

  • Games played: 5
  • Contract value factor: 0

Defensemen

1. D Brandon Montour (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.95

2. D Hampus Lindholm (age 24)

  • Games played: 35
  • Contract value factor: 1.52

3. D Josh Manson (age 26)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 1.22

4. D Cam Fowler (age 26)

  • Games played: 19
  • Contract value factor: 0.77

Goalies

1. G John Gibson (age 25)

  • Games played: 34
  • Contract value factor: 3.26

2. G Ryan Miller (age 38)

  • Games played: 10
  • Contract value factor: 1

3. G Chad Johnson (age 32)

  • Games played: 2
  • Contract value factor: 0

Average forwards contract value factor (14): 1.97

Average defensemen contract value factor (4): 1.62

Average goalies contract value factor (3): 1.42

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(1.97 * 14) + (1.62 * 4) + (1.42 * 3)] / 21 = (27.53 + 6.46 + 4.26) / 21 = 1.82

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s