Contract Analysis: Calgary Flames

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Calgary Flames

Forwards

RW Michael Frolik (age 30)

  • Games played: 24
  • Points: 10 (8 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.16 (1.16 points / $0.5 million)

RW Garnet Hathaway (age 26)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 5 (4 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.94

C Sean Monahan (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 50 (22 goals and 28 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.375 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.92

C Mikael Backlund (age 29)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 20 (8 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.35 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.87

C Elias Lindholm (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 47 (19 goals and 28 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.85

C Derek Ryan (age 31)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 12 (4 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.125 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.92

C Sam Bennett (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 9 (6 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.95 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.31

C Mark Jankowski (age 24)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 16 (6 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.675 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.78

C Austin Czarnik (age 25)

  • Games played: 23
  • Points: 6 (2 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.4

C Dillon Dube (age 20)

  • Games played: 23
  • Points: 5 (1 goal and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.7925 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.15

LW Johnny Gaudreau (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 59 (22 goals and 37 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.37

LW James Neal (age 31)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 8 (4 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.70

LW Matthew Tkachuk (age 20)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 47 (18 goals and 29 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 25.41

Defensemen

D Mark Giordano (age 34)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 38 (6 goals and 32 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.81

D Noah Hanifin (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 19 (3 goals and 16 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.95 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.92

D T.J. Brodie (age 28)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 15 (4 goals and 11 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.61

D Travis Hamonic (age 28)

  • Games played: 33
  • Points: 11 (3 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.857143 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

D Dalton Prout (age 28)

  • Games played: 6
  • Points: 0
  • Base salary: $0.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

D Rasmus Andersson (age 21)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 3 (1 goal and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.786666 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.91

D Oliver Kylington (age 21)

  • Games played: 17
  • Points: 2 (1 goal and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.761667 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.31

D Michael Stone (age 28)

  • Games played: 11
  • Points: 4 (0 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.57

D Juuso Valimaki (age 19)

  • Games played: 22
  • Points: 2 (1 goal and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.08

Goalies

G Mike Smith (age 36)

  • Games played: 22
  • Wins: 12
  • Total cap hit: $5.666667 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.06 (1.06 wins / $0.5 million)

G David Rittich (age 26)

  • Games played: 23
  • Wins: 13
  • Total cap hit: $0.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 8.13

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. LW Matthew Tkachuk (age 20)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 25.41

2. C Elias Lindholm (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 4.85

3. C Mark Jankowski (age 24)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 4.78

4. LW Johnny Gaudreau (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 4.37

5. C Sean Monahan (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.92

6. C Dillon Dube (age 20)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 3.15

7. RW Garnet Hathaway (age 26)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 2.94

8. C Austin Czarnik (age 25)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 2.4

9. C Sam Bennett (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 2.31

10. C Derek Ryan (age 31)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 1.92

11. C Mikael Backlund (age 29)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 1.87

12. RW Michael Frolik (age 30)

  • Games played: 24
  • Contract value factor: 1.16

13. LW James Neal (age 31)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 0.70

Defensemen

1. D Mark Giordano (age 34)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 2.81

2. D Noah Hanifin (age 21)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.92

3. D Rasmus Andersson (age 21)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 1.91

4. D T.J. Brodie (age 28)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.61

5. D Travis Hamonic (age 28)

  • Games played: 33
  • Contract value factor: 1.54

6. D Oliver Kylington (age 21)

  • Games played: 17
  • Contract value factor: 1.31

7. D Juuso Valimaki (age 19)

  • Games played: 22
  • Contract value factor: 1.08

8. D Michael Stone (age 28)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 0.57

9. D Dalton Prout (age 28)

  • Games played: 6
  • Contract value factor: 0

Goalies

1. G David Rittich (age 26)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 8.13

2. G Mike Smith (age 36)

  • Games played: 22
  • Contract value factor: 1.06

Average forwards contract value factor (13): 4.60

Average defensemen contract value factor (9): 1.42

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 4.60

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(4.60 * 13) + (1.42 * 9) + (4.60 * 2)] / 24 = (59.8 + 12.78 + 9.2) / 24 = 3.41

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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