Contract Analysis: Detroit Red Wings

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)
  • A third formula will be used to calculate the cap hit of players who are acquired from another team (for the purpose of this investigation, we will assume that the team who acquires player A will hold onto him for the rest of the season): 186 days (length of hockey season) – d days with former team; days with former team / 186 days = pp * total cap hit for 2019 = a

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

^ = a player who was acquired from another team during the season

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Detroit Red Wings

Forwards

RW Gustav Nyquist (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 34 (10 goals and 24 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.58 (3.58 points / $0.5 million)

RW Martin Frk (age 24)

  • Games played: 23
  • Points: 4 (1 goal and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.05 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.90

RW Luke Witkowski (age 28)

  • Games played: 13
  • Points: 2 (0 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.33

RW Anthony Mantha (age 24)

  • Games played: 27
  • Points: 14 (9 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.3 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.12

C Dylan Larkin (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 39 (17 goals and 22 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6.1 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.20

C Frans Nielsen (age 34)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 24 (7 goals and 17 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.29

C Andreas Athanasiou (age 24)

  • Games played: 35
  • Points: 22 (13 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.67

C Luke Glendening (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 13 (5 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.61

C Michael Rasmussen (age 19)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 12 (6 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.49

C Christoffer Ehn (age 22)

  • Games played: 25
  • Points: 4 (1 goal and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.759167 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.63

C Wade Megan (age 28)

  • Games played: 11
  • Points: 1 (0 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.65 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.77

C Darren Helm (age 31)

  • Games played: 20
  • Points: 6 (1 goal and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.85 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.77

LW Justin Abdelkader (age 31)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 13 (5 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.53

LW Thomas Vanek (age 34)

  • Games played: 33
  • Points: 16 (6 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.67

LW Tyler Bertuzzi (age 23)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 21 (9 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.4 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.5

^LW Jacob De La Rose (age 23)

  • Games played: 29
  • Points: 6 (2 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.89 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.36

@LW Evgeni Svechnikov (age 21)

  • Games played: 0
  • Points: 0
  • Total cap hit: $0.894167 million
  • Contract value factor: 0

Defensemen

D Niklas Kronwall (age 37)

  • Games played: 38
  • Points: 12 (2 goals and 10 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.75 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.26

D Jonathan Ericsson (age 34)

  • Games played: 23
  • Points: 3 (3 goals and 0 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.35

D Trevor Daley (age 34)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 6 (2 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.166667 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.95

D Dennis Cholowski (age 20)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 14 (6 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.57

D Nick Jensen (age 28)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 10 (2 goals and 8 assists)
  • Base salary: $0.8125 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.15

D Filip Hronek (age 20)

  • Games played: 15
  • Points: 4 (2 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.725833 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.76

D Mike Green (age 32)

  • Games played: 23
  • Points: 16 (3 goals and 13 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.375 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.49

D Danny DeKeyser (age 28)

  • Games played: 20
  • Points: 7 (1 goal and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.7

Goalies

G Jimmy Howard (age 34)

  • Games played: 26
  • Wins: 10
  • Total cap hit: $5.291667 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.94 (0.94 wins / $0.5 million)

G Jonathan Bernier (age 30)

  • Games played: 18
  • Wins: 5
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.83

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. LW Tyler Bertuzzi (age 23)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 7.5

2. C Michael Rasmussen (age 19)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 6.49

3. C Andreas Athanasiou (age 24)

  • Games played: 35
  • Contract value factor: 3.67

4. C Luke Glendening (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.61

5. RW Gustav Nyquist (age 29)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.58

6. ^LW Jacob De La Rose (age 23)

  • Games played: 29
  • Contract value factor: 3.36

7. C Dylan Larkin (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.20

8. LW Thomas Vanek (age 34)

  • Games played: 33
  • Contract value factor: 2.67

9. C Christoffer Ehn (age 22)

  • Games played: 25
  • Contract value factor: 2.63

10. C Frans Nielsen (age 34)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 2.29

11. RW Anthony Mantha (age 24)

  • Games played: 27
  • Contract value factor: 2.12

12. RW Martin Frk (age 24)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 1.90

13. LW Justin Abdelkader (age 31)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.53

14. RW Luke Witkowski (age 28)

  • Games played: 13
  • Contract value factor: 1.33

15. C Wade Megan (age 28)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 0.77

15. C Darren Helm (age 31)

  • Games played: 20
  • Contract value factor: 0.77

17. @LW Evgeni Svechnikov (age 21)

  • Games played: 0
  • Contract value factor: 0

Defensemen

1. D Dennis Cholowski (age 20)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 7.57

2. D Nick Jensen (age 28)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 6.15

3. D Filip Hronek (age 20)

  • Games played: 15
  • Contract value factor: 2.76

4. D Mike Green (age 32)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 1.49

5. D Niklas Kronwall (age 37)

  • Games played: 38
  • Contract value factor: 1.26

6. D Trevor Daley (age 34)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 0.95

7. D Danny DeKeyser (age 28)

  • Games played: 20
  • Contract value factor: 0.7

8. D Jonathan Ericsson (age 34)

  • Games played: 23
  • Contract value factor: 0.35

Goalies

1. G Jimmy Howard (age 34)

  • Games played: 26
  • Contract value factor: 0.94

2. G Jonathan Bernier (age 30)

  • Games played: 18
  • Contract value factor: 0.83

Average forwards contract value factor (17): 2.79

Average defensemen contract value factor (8): 3.03

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 0.89

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(2.79 * 17) + (3.03 * 8) + (0.89 * 2)] / 27 = (47.43 + 24.24 + 1.78) / 27 = 2.72

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.

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