Projected 2019 Standings: Edition #1

Believe it or not, players will be reporting to spring training next month (mid-February) and baseball will be back before you know it. All teams go into the season with high hopes of qualifying for the postseason. Rebuilding teams like the Tigers would yearn for an opportunity to compete in the playoffs while fans of contending squads, such as the Yankees and Red Sox, will only be satisfied if their team brings home a World Series title. At this point in the offseason, many of the big fish are still at play, most notably Bryce Harper and Manny Machado — two generational talents — as well as Dallas Keuchel, Craig Kimbrel, A.J. Pollock, and several others. But as it stands, some teams are currently content and will only make minors transactions the rest of the way out. In this investigation, we will attempt to project the 2019 standings through finding a relationship / pattern between each team’s overall WAR (all WAR are according to FanGraphs) and the number of games they win. To find this relationship (for each team) — WCF (Wins Correlation Factor) — let’s take a trip back in time.

1. The formula used to calculate WCF for a single season can be seen below…

WCF = Wins – Team WAR

2. The formula used to calculate an Overall WCF (accounting for entire data sample / last 5 seasons / 2014:18) can be seen below…

Overall WCF = (2018 WCF * 0.30) + (2017 WCF * 0.25) + (2016 WCF * 0.20) + (2015 WCF * 0.15) + (2014 WCF * 0.1)

Angels

Overall WCF = (44.6 * 0.3) + (50.2 * 0.25) + (47.3 * 0.2) + (55.9 * 0.15) + (53.1 * 0.1) = 13.38 + 12.55 + 9.46 + 8.385 + 5.31 = 49.085

2018 Team WAR: 35.4; 2018 Record: 80-82; WCF: 44.6

2017 Team WAR: 29.8; 2017 Record: 80-82; WCF: 50.2

2016 Team WAR: 26.7; 2016 Record: 74-88; WCF: 47.3

2015 Team WAR: 29.1; 2015 Record: 85-77; WCF: 55.9

2014 Team WAR: 44.9; 2014 Record: 98-64; WCF: 53.1

Astros

Overall WCF = (47.5 * 0.3) + (47.5 * 0.25) + (43.2 * 0.2) + (41.2 * 0.15) + (46.5 * 0.1) = 14.25 + 11.875 + 8.64 + 6.18 + 4.65 = 45.595

2018 Team WAR: 55.5; 2018 Record: 103-59; WCF: 47.5

2017 Team WAR: 53.5; 2017 Record: 101-61; WCF: 47.5

2016 Team WAR: 40.8; 2016 Record: 84-78; WCF: 43.2

2015 Team WAR: 44.8; 2015 Record: 86-76; WCF: 41.2

2014 Team WAR: 23.5; 2014 Record: 70-92; WCF: 46.5

Athletics

Overall WCF = (52.5 * 0.3) + (48.5 * 0.25) + (52.8 * 0.2) + (43.8 * 0.15) + (49.4 * 0.1) = 15.75 + 12.125 + 10.56 + 6.57 + 4.94 = 49.945

2018 Team WAR: 44.5; 2018 Record: 97-65; WCF: 52.5

2017 Team WAR: 26.5; 2017 Record: 75-87; WCF: 48.5

2016 Team WAR: 16.2; 2016 Record: 69-93; WCF: 52.8

2015 Team WAR: 24.2; 2015 Record: 68-94; WCF: 43.8

2014 Team WAR: 38.6; 2014 Record: 88-74; WCF: 49.4

Blue Jays

Overall WCF = (51.9 * 0.3) + (49.2 * 0.25) + (47.6 * 0.2) + (42.8 * 0.15) + (46.7 * 0.1) = 15.57 + 12.3 + 9.52 + 6.42 + 4.67 = 48.48 

2018 Team WAR: 21.1; 2018 Record: 73-89; WCF: 51.9

2017 Team WAR: 26.8; 2017 Record: 76-86; WCF: 49.2

2016 Team WAR: 41.4; 2016 Record: 89-73; WCF: 47.6

2015 Team WAR: 50.2; 2015 Record: 93-69; WCF: 42.8

2014 Team WAR: 36.3; 2014 Record: 83-79; WCF: 46.7

Braves

Overall WCF = (49.3 * 0.3) + (47.7 * 0.25) + (48.7 * 0.2) + (50.1 * 0.15) + (47.7 * 0.1) = 14.79 + 11.925 + 9.74 + 7.515 + 4.77 = 48.74

2018 Team WAR: 40.7; 2018 Record: 90-72; WCF: 49.3

2017 Team WAR: 24.3; 2017 Record: 72-90; WCF: 47.7

2016 Team WAR: 19.3; 2016 Record: 68-93; WCF: 48.7

2015 Team WAR: 16.9; 2015 Record: 67-95; WCF: 50.1

2014 Team WAR: 31.3; 2014 Record: 79-83; WCF: 47.7

Brewers

Overall WCF = (53 * 0.3) + (51.5 * 0.25) + (48.7 * 0.2) + (45.4 * 0.15) + (45.7 * 0.1) = 15.9 + 12.875 + 9.74 + 6.81 + 4.57 = 49.895

2018 Team WAR: 43.0; 2018 Record: 96-67; WCF: 53

2017 Team WAR: 34.5; 2017 Record: 86-76; WCF: 51.5

2016 Team WAR: 24.3; 2016 Record: 73-89; WCF: 48.7

2015 Team WAR: 22.6; 2015 Record: 68-94; WCF: 45.4

2014 Team WAR: 36.3; 2014 Record: 82-80; WCF: 45.7

Cardinals

Overall WCF = (48.1 * 0.3) + (41.4 * 0.25) + (46.9 * 0.2) + (55.6 * 0.15) + (56 * 0.1) = 14.43 + 10.35 + 9.38 + 8.34 + 5.6 = 48.1

2018 Team WAR: 39.9; 2018 Record: 88-74; WCF: 48.1

2017 Team WAR: 41.6; 2017 Record: 83-79; WCF: 41.4

2016 Team WAR: 39.1; 2016 Record: 86-76; WCF: 46.9

2015 Team WAR: 44.4; 2015 Record: 100-62; WCF: 55.6

2014 Team WAR: 34.0; 2014 Record: 90-72; WCF: 56

Cubs

Overall WCF = (54.9 * 0.3) + (48.8 * 0.25) + (46.5 * 0.2) + (48.4 * 0.15) + (37.2 * 0.1) = 16.47 + 12.2 + 9.3 + 7.26 + 3.72 = 48.95

2018 Team WAR: 40.1; 2018 Record: 95-68; WCF: 54.9

2017 Team WAR: 43.2; 2017 Record: 92-70; WCF: 48.8

2016 Team WAR: 56.5; 2016 Record: 103-58; WCF: 46.5

2015 Team WAR: 48.6; 2015 Record: 97-65; WCF: 48.4

2014 Team WAR: 35.8; 2014 Record: 73-89; WCF: 37.2

Diamondbacks

Overall WCF = (48.5 * 0.3) + (50.6 * 0.25) + (42.8 * 0.2) + (46.7 * 0.15) + (42.8 * 0.1) = 14.55 + 12.65 + 8.56 + 7.005 + 4.28 = 47.045

2018 Team WAR: 33.5; 2018 Record: 82-80; WCF: 48.5

2017 Team WAR: 42.4; 2017 Record: 93-69; WCF: 50.6

2016 Team WAR: 26.2; 2016 Record: 69-93; WCF: 42.8

2015 Team WAR: 32.3; 2015 Record: 79-83; WCF: 46.7

2014 Team WAR: 21.2; 2014 Record: 64-98; WCF: 42.8

Dodgers

Overall WCF = (38.5 * 0.3) + (49.2 * 0.25) + (44.9 * 0.2) + (43 * 0.15) + (42.8 * 0.1) = 11.55 + 12.3 + 8.98 + 6.45 + 4.28 = 43.56

2018 Team WAR: 53.5; 2018 Record: 92-71; WCF: 38.5

2017 Team WAR: 54.8; 2017 Record: 104-58; WCF: 49.2

2016 Team WAR: 46.1; 2016 Record: 91-71; WCF: 44.9

2015 Team WAR: 49.0; 2015 Record: 92-70; WCF: 43

2014 Team WAR: 51.2; 2014 Record: 94-58; WCF: 42.8

Giants

Overall WCF = (53.6 * 0.3) + (43 * 0.25) + (46.2 * 0.2) + (45.6 * 0.15) + (51.7 * 0.1) = 16.08 + 10.75 + 9.24 + 6.84 + 5.17 = 48.08

2018 Team WAR: 19.4; 2018 Record: 73-89; WCF: 53.6

2017 Team WAR: 21.0; 2017 Record: 64-98; WCF: 43

2016 Team WAR: 40.8; 2016 Record: 87-75; WCF: 46.2

2015 Team WAR: 38.4; 2015 Record: 84-78; WCF: 45.6

2014 Team WAR: 36.3; 2014 Record: 88-74; WCF: 51.7

Indians

Overall WCF = (40.7 * 0.3) + (44.3 * 0.25) + (51.4 * 0.2) + (41.1 * 0.15) + (50.5 * 0.1) = 12.21 + 11.075 + 10.28 + 6.165 + 5.05 = 44.78

2018 Team WAR: 50.3; 2018 Record: 91-71; WCF: 40.7

2017 Team WAR: 57.7; 2017 Record: 102-60; WCF: 44.3

2016 Team WAR: 42.6; 2016 Record: 94-67; WCF: 51.4

2015 Team WAR: 39.9; 2015 Record: 81-80; WCF: 41.1

2014 Team WAR: 34.5; 2014 Record: 85-77; WCF: 50.5

Mariners

Overall WCF = (54 * 0.3) + (45.9 * 0.25) + (50.8 * 0.2) + (49.7 * 0.15) + (56.9 * 0.1) = 16.2 + 11.475 + 10.16 + 7.455 + 5.69 = 50.98

2018 Team WAR: 35.0; 2018 Record: 89-73; WCF: 54

2017 Team WAR: 32.1; 2017 Record: 78-84; WCF: 45.9

2016 Team WAR: 35.2; 2016 Record: 86-76; WCF: 50.8

2015 Team WAR: 26.3; 2015 Record: 76-86; WCF: 49.7

2014 Team WAR: 30.1; 2014 Record: 87-75; WCF: 56.9

Marlins

Overall WCF = (49.7 * 0.3) + (43.1 * 0.25) + (41.8 * 0.2) + (43.3 * 0.15) + (43.8 * 0.1) = 14.91 + 10.775 + 8.36 + 6.495 + 4.38 = 44.92

2018 Team WAR: 13.3; 2018 Record: 63-98; WCF: 49.7

2017 Team WAR: 33.9; 2017 Record: 77-85; WCF: 43.1

2016 Team WAR: 37.2; 2016 Record: 79-82; WCF: 41.8

2015 Team WAR: 27.7; 2015 Record: 71-91; WCF: 43.3

2014 Team WAR: 33.2; 2014 Record: 77-85; WCF: 43.8

Mets

Overall WCF = (43.7 * 0.3) + (38.4 * 0.25) + (41.5 * 0.2) + (46.1 * 0.15) + (48.4 * 0.1) = 13.11 + 9.6 + 8.3 + 6.915 + 4.84 = 42.765

2018 Team WAR: 33.3; 2018 Record: 77-85; WCF: 43.7

2017 Team WAR: 31.6; 2017 Record: 70-92; WCF: 38.4

2016 Team WAR: 45.5; 2016 Record: 87-75; WCF: 41.5

2015 Team WAR: 43.9; 2015 Record: 90-72; WCF: 46.1

2014 Team WAR: 30.6; 2014 Record: 79-83; WCF: 48.4

Nationals

Overall WCF = (42.5 * 0.3) + (50.9 * 0.25) + (57.8 * 0.2) + (42.9 * 0.15) + (45.5 * 0.1) = 12.75 + 12.725 + 11.56 + 6.435 + 4.55 = 48.02

2018 Team WAR: 39.5; 2018 Record: 82-80; WCF: 42.5

2017 Team WAR: 46.1; 2017 Record: 97-65; WCF: 50.9

2016 Team WAR: 37.2; 2016 Record: 95-67; WCF: 57.8

2015 Team WAR: 40.1; 2015 Record: 83-79; WCF: 42.9

2014 Team WAR: 50.5; 2014 Record: 96-66; WCF: 45.5

Orioles

Overall WCF = (38.9 * 0.3) + (43.4 * 0.25) + (53 * 0.2) + (47.7 * 0.15) + (55.7 * 0.1) = 11.67 + 10.85 + 10.6 + 7.155 + 5.57 = 45.845

2018 Team WAR: 8.1; 2018 Record: 47-115; WCF: 38.9

2017 Team WAR: 31.6; 2017 Record: 75-87; WCF: 43.4

2016 Team WAR: 36.0; 2016 Record: 89-73; WCF: 53

2015 Team WAR: 33.3; 2015 Record: 81-81; WCF: 47.7

2014 Team WAR: 40.3; 2014 Record: 96-66; WCF: 55.7

Padres

Overall WCF = (45.5 * 0.3) + (56.4 * 0.25) + (47.8 * 0.2) + (47.9 * 0.15) + (53.1 * 0.1) = 13.65 + 14.1 + 9.56 + 7.185 + 5.31 = 49.805

2018 Team WAR: 20.5; 2018 Record: 66-96; WCF: 45.5

2017 Team WAR: 14.6; 2017 Record: 71-91; WCF: 56.4

2016 Team WAR: 20.2; 2016 Record: 68-94; WCF: 47.8

2015 Team WAR: 26.1; 2015 Record: 74-88; WCF: 47.9

2014 Team WAR: 23.9; 2014 Record: 77-85; WCF: 53.1

Phillies

Overall WCF = (48 * 0.3) + (41.1 * 0.25) + (47.2 * 0.2) + (43.7 * 0.15) + (44.8 * 0.1) = 14.4 + 10.275 + 9.44 + 6.555 + 4.48 = 45.15

2018 Team WAR: 32.0; 2018 Record: 80-82; WCF: 48

2017 Team WAR: 24.9; 2017 Record: 66-96; WCF: 41.1

2016 Team WAR: 23.8; 2016 Record: 71-91; WCF: 47.2

2015 Team WAR: 19.3; 2015 Record: 63-99; WCF: 43.7

2014 Team WAR: 28.2; 2014 Record: 73-89; WCF: 44.8

Pirates

Overall WCF = (49.3 * 0.3) + (48.8 * 0.25) + (49.8 * 0.2) + (54.2 * 0.15) + (48.3 * 0.1) = 14.79 + 12.2 + 9.96 + 8.13 + 4.83 = 49.91

2018 Team WAR: 32.7; 2018 Record: 82-79; WCF: 49.3

2017 Team WAR: 26.2; 2017 Record: 75-87; WCF: 48.8

2016 Team WAR: 28.2; 2016 Record: 78-83; WCF: 49.8

2015 Team WAR: 43.8; 2015 Record: 98-64; WCF: 54.2

2014 Team WAR: 39.7; 2014 Record: 88-74; WCF: 48.3

Rangers

Overall WCF = (43.9 * 0.3) + (55.7 * 0.25) + (66.7 * 0.2) + (55.5 * 0.15) + (46.1 * 0.1) = 13.17 + 13.925 + 13.34 + 8.325 + 4.61 = 53.37

2018 Team WAR: 23.1; 2018 Record: 67-95; WCF: 43.9

2017 Team WAR: 22.3; 2017 Record: 78-84; WCF: 55.7

2016 Team WAR: 28.3; 2016 Record: 95-67; WCF: 66.7

2015 Team WAR: 32.5; 2015 Record: 88-74; WCF: 55.5

2014 Team WAR: 20.9; 2014 Record: 67-95; WCF: 46.1

Rays

Overall WCF = (49.7 * 0.3) + (43.2 * 0.25) + (38.9 * 0.2) + (45.8 * 0.15) + (42.6 * 0.1) = 14.91 + 10.8 + 7.78 + 6.87 + 4.26 = 44.62

2018 Team WAR: 40.3; 2018 Record: 90-72; WCF: 49.7

2017 Team WAR: 36.8; 2017 Record: 80-82; WCF: 43.2

2016 Team WAR: 29.1; 2016 Record: 68-94; WCF: 38.9

2015 Team WAR: 34.2; 2015 Record: 80-82; WCF: 45.8

2014 Team WAR: 34.4; 2014 Record: 77-85; WCF: 42.6

Red Sox

Overall WCF = (57.8 * 0.3) + (51.6 * 0.25) + (39.6 * 0.2) + (48.5 * 0.15) + (43.1 * 0.1) = 17.34 + 12.9 + 7.92 + 7.275 + 4.31 = 49.745

2018 Team WAR: 50.2; 2018 Record: 108-54; WCF: 57.8

2017 Team WAR: 41.4; 2017 Record: 93-69; WCF: 51.6

2016 Team WAR: 53.4; 2016 Record: 93-69; WCF: 39.6

2015 Team WAR: 29.5; 2015 Record: 78-84; WCF: 48.5

2014 Team WAR: 27.9; 2014 Record: 71-91; WCF: 43.1

Reds

Overall WCF = (41.5 * 0.3) + (42.7 * 0.25) + (54.4 * 0.2) + (36.6 * 0.15) + (48.4 * 0.1) = 12.45 + 10.675 + 10.88 + 5.49 + 4.84 = 44.335

2018 Team WAR: 25.5; 2018 Record: 67-95; WCF: 41.5

2017 Team WAR: 25.3; 2017 Record: 68-94; WCF: 42.7

2016 Team WAR: 13.6; 2016 Record: 68-94; WCF: 54.4

2015 Team WAR: 27.4; 2015 Record: 64-98; WCF: 36.6

2014 Team WAR: 27.6; 2014 Record: 76-86; WCF: 48.4

Rockies

Overall WCF = (57.3 * 0.3) + (55 * 0.25) + (42.8 * 0.2) + (49.9 * 0.15) + (41.7 * 0.1) = 17.19 + 13.75 + 8.56 + 7.485 + 4.17 = 51.155

2018 Team WAR: 33.7; 2018 Record: 91-72; WCF: 57.3

2017 Team WAR: 32.0; 2017 Record: 87-75; WCF: 55

2016 Team WAR: 32.2; 2016 Record: 75-87; WCF: 42.8

2015 Team WAR: 18.1; 2015 Record: 68-94; WCF: 49.9

2014 Team WAR: 24.3; 2014 Record: 66-96; WCF: 41.7

Royals

Overall WCF = (39.4 * 0.3) + (54.6 * 0.25) + (57.7 * 0.2) + (59.5 * 0.15) + (53 * 0.1) = 11.82 + 13.65 + 11.54 + 8.925 + 5.3 = 51.235

2018 Team WAR: 18.6; 2018 Record: 58-104; WCF: 39.4

2017 Team WAR: 25.4; 2017 Record: 80-82; WCF: 54.6

2016 Team WAR: 23.3; 2016 Record: 81-81; WCF: 57.7

2015 Team WAR: 35.5; 2015 Record: 95-67; WCF: 59.5

2014 Team WAR: 36.0; 2014 Record: 89-73; WCF: 53

Tigers

Overall WCF = (47.2 * 0.3) + (37.5 * 0.25) + (47 * 0.2) + (45.4 * 0.15) + (45.5 * 0.1) = 14.16 + 9.375 + 9.4 + 6.81 + 4.55 = 44.295

2018 Team WAR: 16.8; 2018 Record: 64-98; WCF: 47.2

2017 Team WAR: 26.5; 2017 Record: 64-98; WCF: 37.5

2016 Team WAR: 39.0; 2016 Record: 86-75; WCF: 47

2015 Team WAR: 28.6; 2015 Record: 74-87; WCF: 45.4

2014 Team WAR: 44.5; 2014 Record: 90-72; WCF: 45.5

Twins

Overall WCF = (50.4 * 0.3) + (50.1 * 0.25) + (36.5 * 0.2) + (55.1 * 0.15) + (39.5 * 0.1) = 15.12 + 12.525 + 7.3 + 8.265 + 3.95 = 47.16

2018 Team WAR: 27.6; 2018 Record: 78-84; WCF: 50.4

2017 Team WAR: 34.9; 2017 Record: 85-77; WCF: 50.1

2016 Team WAR: 22.5; 2016 Record: 59-103; WCF: 36.5

2015 Team WAR: 27.9; 2015 Record: 83-79; WCF: 55.1

2014 Team WAR: 30.5; 2014 Record: 70-92; WCF: 39.5

White Sox

Overall WCF = (44.8 * 0.3) + (49.8 * 0.25) + (46.5 * 0.2) + (49.8 * 0.15) + (48.9 * 0.1) = 13.44 + 12.45 + 9.3 + 7.47 + 4.89 = 47.55

2018 Team WAR: 17.2; 2018 Record: 62-100; WCF: 44.8

2017 Team WAR: 17.2; 2017 Record: 67-95; WCF: 49.8

2016 Team WAR: 31.5; 2016 Record: 78-84; WCF: 46.5

2015 Team WAR: 26.2; 2015 Record: 76-86; WCF: 49.8

2014 Team WAR: 24.1; 2014 Record: 73-89; WCF: 48.9

Yankees

Overall WCF = (44 * 0.3) + (38.1 * 0.25) + (50.4 * 0.2) + (48.1 * 0.15) + (48.2 * 0.1) = 13.2 + 9.525 + 10.08 + 7.215 + 4.82 = 44.84

2018 Team WAR: 56.0; 2018 Record: 100-62; WCF: 44

2017 Team WAR: 52.9; 2017 Record: 91-71; WCF: 38.1

2016 Team WAR: 33.6; 2016 Record: 84-78; WCF: 50.4

2015 Team WAR: 38.9; 2015 Record: 87-75; WCF: 48.1

2014 Team WAR: 35.8; 2014 Record: 84-78; WCF: 48.2

Now that we’ve calculated the Wins Correlation Factor (WCF) for each team, we can project where teams will finish in the 2019 season using the following formula…

2019 Projected Record = Overall WCF + 2019 Team WAR Projections (per FanGraphs Depth Charts projections)

Here are my 2019 standings predictions (as of Jan. 13th)…

Italicized = would make playoffs

American League

AL East

  1. Boston Red Sox: 100.6 – 61.4 (Overall WCF 49.745 + 50.9 Team WAR Projections)
  2. New York Yankees: 97.3 – 64.7 (44.84 Overall WCF + 52.5 Team WAR Projections)
  3. Tampa Bay Rays: 82.3 – 79.7 (44.62 Overall WCF + 37.7 Team WAR Projections)
  4. Toronto Blue Jays: 78.7 – 83.3 (48.48 Overall WCF + 30.2 Team WAR Projections)
  5. Baltimore Orioles: 61.2 – 100.8 (45.845 Overall WCF + 15.4 Team WAR Projections)

AL Central

  1. Cleveland Indians: 90.5 – 71.5 (44.78 Overall WCF + 45.7 Team WAR Projections)
  2. Minnesota Twins: 83.5 – 78.5 (47.16 Overall WCF + 36.3 Team WAR Projections)
  3. Kansas City Royals: 72.3 – 89.7 (51.235 Overall WCF + 21.1 Team WAR Projections)
  4. Chicago White Sox: 70.3 – 91.7 (47.55 Overall WCF + 22.7 Team WAR Projections)
  5. Detroit Tigers: 66.0 – 96.0 (44.295 Overall WCF + 21.7 Team WAR Projections)

AL West

  1. Houston Astros: 95.1 – 66.9 (45.595 Overall WCF + 49.5 Team WAR Projections)
  2. Los Angeles Angels: 88.6 – 73.4 (49.085 Overall WCF + 39.5 Team WAR Projections)
  3. Oakland Athletics: 85.1 – 76.9 (49.945 Overall WCF + 35.2 Team WAR Projections)
  4. Texas Rangers: 77.8 – 84.2 (53.37 Overall WCF + 24.4 Team WAR Projections)
  5. Seattle Mariners: 77.0 – 85.0 (50.98 Overall WCF + 26.0 Team WAR Projections)

National League

NL East

  1. Washington Nationals: 94.7 – 67.3 (48.02 Overall WCF + 46.7 Team WAR Projections)
  2. New York Mets 84.3 – 77.7 (42.765 Overall WCF + 41.5 Team WAR Projections)
  3. Atlanta Braves 84.0 – 78.0 (48.74 Overall WCF + 35.3 Team WAR Projections)
  4. Philadelphia Phillies 79.1 – 82.9 (45.15 Overall WCF + 33.9 Team WAR Projections)
  5. Miami Marlins 65.5 – 96.5 (44.92 Overall WCF + 20.6 Team WAR Projections)

NL Central

  1. Chicago Cubs: 93.1 – 68.9 (48.95 Overall WCF + 44.1 Team WAR Projections)
  2. St. Louis Cardinals: 90.2 – 71.8 (48.1 Overall WCF + 42.1 Team WAR Projections)
  3. Pittsburgh Pirates: 86.6 – 75.4 (49.91 Overall WCF + 36.7 Team WAR Projections)
  4. Milwaukee Brewers: 83.8 – 78.2 (49.895 Overall WCF + 33.9 Team WAR Projections)
  5. Cincinatti Reds: 77.0 – 85.0 (44.335 Overall WCF + 32.7 Team WAR Projections)

NL West

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers: 93.5 – 68.5 (43.56 Overall WCF + 49.9 Team WAR Projections)
  2. Colorado Rockies: 85.2 – 76.8 (51.155 Overall WCF + 34.0 Team WAR Projections)
  3. Arizona Diamondbacks: 79.3 – 82.7 (47.045 Overall WCF + 32.3 Team WAR Projections)
  4. San Diego Padres: 79.3 – 82.7 (49.805 Overall WCF + 29.5 Team WAR Projections
  5. San Francisco Giants: 75.2 – 86.8 (48.08 Overall WCF + 27.1 Team WAR Projections)








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