Contract Analysis: Vancouver Canucks

In the “Contract Analysis” series, we will be compiling a ranking of forwards, defenseman, and goalies according to their contract value factor (production / $0.5 million). First, players on individual teams will be looked at. These results will be combined to form an overall ranking (one for forwards, another for defensemen, and one for goalies).

It is important to note that the stats that are to be used are their midseason statistics (stats they have accrued when respective team has played 41 games / half an NHL season) and that their total cap hit, per Spotrac, will be utilized.

  • This first formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of forwards and defensemen: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; points / = contract value (p points / $0.5 million)
  • This second formula will be used to calculate the contract value factor of goalies: Total cap hit / $0.5 million = x; wins / x = contract value (g wins / $0.5 million)

Players will only be excluded if they…

  • are non-roster players OR
  • were acquired via trade within the 2 weeks leading up to their new team’s 41st game

* (asterisk) = a player who has been demoted to the AHL

@ (at sign) = a player, due to injury, has missed all of the 2018-19 season thus far.

Eastern Conference

Atlantic Division

Metropolitan Division

Western Conference

Central Division

Pacific Division

Vancouver Canucks

Forwards

RW Loui Eriksson (age 33)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 16 (7 goals and 9 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $6 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.33 (1.33 points / $0.5 million)

RW Jay Beagle (age 32)

  • Games played: 17
  • Points: 4 (1 goals and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.67

RW Brock Boeser (age 21)

  • Games played: 28
  • Points: 26 (14 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 14.05

RW Nikolay Goldobin (age 22)

  • Games played: 40
  • Points: 23 (5 goals and 18 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.863333 million
  • Contract value factor: 13.32

C Bo Horvat (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 35 (17 goals and 18 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.18

C Tim Schaller (age 27)

  • Games played: 29
  • Points: 5 (0 goals and 5 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.9 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.32

C Markus Granlund (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 14 (6 goals and 8 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.475 million
  • Contract value factor: 4.75

C Tyler Motte (age 23)

  • Games played: 39
  • Points: 12 (6 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 6.49

C Elias Pettersson (age 19)

  • Games played: 35
  • Points: 39 (19 goal and 20 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 21.08

*C Adam Gaudette (age 21)

  • Games played: 31
  • Points: 6 (2 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.916666 million
  • Contract value factor: 3.27

C Brandon Sutter (age 29)

  • Games played: 13
  • Points: 4 (3 goals and 1 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.375 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.46

C Sven Baertschi (age 25)

  • Games played: 11
  • Points: 7 (3 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3.367 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.04

LW Antoine Roussel (age 29)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 17 (4 goals and 13 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.83

LW Jake Virtanen (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Points: 18 (11 goals and 7 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.25 million
  • Contract value factor: 7.2

LW Josh Leivo (age 25)

  • Games played: 12
  • Points: 5 (4 goals and 1 assist)
  • Total cap hit: $0.925 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.70

Defensemen

D Alexander Edler (age 32)

  • Games played: 26
  • Points: 16 (4 goals and 12 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $5 million
  • Contract value factor: 1.6

D Chris Tanev (age 28)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 8 (2 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4.45 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.90

D Erik Gudbranson (age 26)

  • Games played: 36
  • Points: 8 (2 goals and 6 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $4 million
  • Contract value factor: 1

D Michael Del Zotto (age 28)

  • Games played: 22
  • Points: 4 (1 goal and 3 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $3 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.92

D Ben Hutton (age 25)

  • Games played: 37
  • Points: 14 (4 goals and 10 assists)
  • Base salary: $2.8 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.5

D Troy Stecher (age 24)

  • Games played: 34
  • Points: 12 (1 goal and 11 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $2.325 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.58

D Derrick Pouliot (age 26)

  • Games played: 21
  • Points: 2 (0 goals and 2 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $1.375 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.73

D Alex Biega (age 30)

  • Games played: 14
  • Points: 4 (0 goals and 4 assists)
  • Total cap hit: $0.825 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.42

Goalies

G Jacob Markstrom (age 28)

  • Games played: 29
  • Wins: 16
  • Total cap hit: $3.666666 million
  • Contract value factor: 2.18 (2.18 wins / $0.5 million)

G Anders Nilsson (age 28)

  • Games played: 11
  • Wins: 3
  • Total cap hit: $2.5 million
  • Contract value factor: 0.6

Contract Value Rankings

Forwards

1. C Elias Pettersson (age 19)

  • Games played: 35
  • Contract value factor: 21.08

2. RW Brock Boeser (age 21)

  • Games played: 28
  • Contract value factor: 14.05

3. RW Nikolay Goldobin (age 22)

  • Games played: 40
  • Contract value factor: 13.32

4. LW Jake Virtanen (age 22)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 7.2

5. C Tyler Motte (age 23)

  • Games played: 39
  • Contract value factor: 6.49

6. C Markus Granlund (age 25)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 4.75

7. *C Adam Gaudette (age 21)

  • Games played: 31
  • Contract value factor: 3.27

8. C Bo Horvat (age 23)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 3.18

9. LW Antoine Roussel (age 29)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 2.83

10. LW Josh Leivo (age 25)

  • Games played: 12
  • Contract value factor: 2.70

11. RW Loui Eriksson (age 33)

  • Games played: 41
  • Contract value factor: 1.33

12. C Tim Schaller (age 27)

  • Games played: 29
  • Contract value factor: 1.32

13. C Sven Baertschi (age 25)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 1.04

14. RW Jay Beagle (age 32)

  • Games played: 17
  • Contract value factor: 0.67

15. C Brandon Sutter (age 29)

  • Games played: 13
  • Contract value factor: 0.46

Defensemen

1. D Michael Del Zotto (age 28)

  • Games played: 22
  • Contract value factor: 2.92

2. D Troy Stecher (age 24)

  • Games played: 34
  • Contract value factor: 2.58

3. D Ben Hutton (age 25)

  • Games played: 37
  • Contract value factor: 2.5

4. D Alex Biega (age 30)

  • Games played: 14
  • Contract value factor: 2.42

5. D Alexander Edler (age 32)

  • Games played: 26
  • Contract value factor: 1.6

6. D Erik Gudbranson (age 26)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 1

7. D Chris Tanev (age 28)

  • Games played: 36
  • Contract value factor: 0.90

8. D Derrick Pouliot (age 26)

  • Games played: 21
  • Contract value factor: 0.73

Goalies

1. G Jacob Markstrom (age 28)

  • Games played: 29
  • Contract value factor: 2.18

2. G Anders Nilsson (age 28)

  • Games played: 11
  • Contract value factor: 0.6

Average forwards contract value factor (15): 5.58

Average defensemen contract value factor (8): 1.83

Average goalies contract value factor (2): 1.39

Average contract value factor (encompassing all positions): [(5.58 * 14) + (1.83 * 8) + (1.39 * 2)] / 25 = (78.12 + 11.04 + 2.78) / 25 = 3.68

The average contract value factor for forwards, defensemen, and goalies are not comparable. It is also important to note that these values do not indicate which player is most valuable going forward; rather they convey who is contributing most (offensively) relative to their total cap hit (what counts towards their team’s salary cap) thus far this season. Additionally, one can examine a player’s contract value factor relative to the team’s average contract value factor for that position (forwards, defensemen, or goalies).

We can also compare team A’s average contract value factor to team B’s average contract value factor to see which team is getting more (production) for their money.

Thanks for reading.


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